French President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new prime minister after Michel Barnier's government fell to a National Assembly no-confidence vote on December 4—the first successful such motion since 1962—following failure to pass a budget amid a hung parliament. Sébastien Lecornu, Armed Forces Minister and Macron loyalist, ranks among top contenders like François Bayrou, as the Élysée consults party leaders from the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron's centrists, and far-right National Rally. Traders eye an imminent naming, likely this week, with the successor facing immediate tests from opposition blocs lacking a majority, including budget deadlines and potential snap votes. Structural instability from July's snap election heightens risks for any appointee's tenure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$297,525 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
2026年6月30日
10%
2026 年 12 月 31 日
41%
$297,525 交易量
2026年6月30日
$0 交易量
10%
2026 年 12 月 31 日
$4,086 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new prime minister after Michel Barnier's government fell to a National Assembly no-confidence vote on December 4—the first successful such motion since 1962—following failure to pass a budget amid a hung parliament. Sébastien Lecornu, Armed Forces Minister and Macron loyalist, ranks among top contenders like François Bayrou, as the Élysée consults party leaders from the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron's centrists, and far-right National Rally. Traders eye an imminent naming, likely this week, with the successor facing immediate tests from opposition blocs lacking a majority, including budget deadlines and potential snap votes. Structural instability from July's snap election heightens risks for any appointee's tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$297,525结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new prime minister after Michel Barnier's government fell to a National Assembly no-confidence vote on December 4—the first successful such motion since 1962—following failure to pass a budget amid a hung parliament. Sébastien Lecornu, Armed Forces Minister and Macron loyalist, ranks among top contenders like François Bayrou, as the Élysée consults party leaders from the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron's centrists, and far-right National Rally. Traders eye an imminent naming, likely this week, with the successor facing immediate tests from opposition blocs lacking a majority, including budget deadlines and potential snap votes. Structural instability from July's snap election heightens risks for any appointee's tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$297,525结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new prime minister after Michel Barnier's government fell to a National Assembly no-confidence vote on December 4—the first successful such motion since 1962—following failure to pass a budget amid a hung parliament. Sébastien Lecornu, Armed Forces Minister and Macron loyalist, ranks among top contenders like François Bayrou, as the Élysée consults party leaders from the left-wing New Popular Front, Macron's centrists, and far-right National Rally. Traders eye an imminent naming, likely this week, with the successor facing immediate tests from opposition blocs lacking a majority, including budget deadlines and potential snap votes. Structural instability from July's snap election heightens risks for any appointee's tenure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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