Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 50% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the fragmented March 22 subnational first-round vote, where he led with 20% as the Patria-SOL alliance candidate aligned with President Rodrigo Paz. René Yahuasi Calamani advanced to the April 19 runoff with 9.2% via strength in El Alto and rural provinces, while Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's near-33% odds reflect potential vote transfers from his Somos La Paz base and other eliminated contenders amid high fragmentation. Revilla's edge stems from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and urban support; an April 12 debate could sway undecideds in this closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼 33.0%
路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚 30.0%
菲德尔·楚拉 16.9%
理查德·安德烈斯·戈麦斯 10.3%
$15,210 交易量
$15,210 交易量
2026-03-22
雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼
33%
路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚
50%
菲德尔·楚拉
17%
理查德·安德烈斯·戈麦斯
10%
奥古斯托·萨图尔尼诺·奥布利塔斯
4%
拉斐尔·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯
3%
赫尔曼·里韦罗斯
3%
费利克斯·帕茨
2%
德梅特里奥·维尔卡
1%
奥兰多·卡利萨亚
<1%
瓜尔贝托·库西
<1%
桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩
7%
克莱门特·古铁雷斯
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
英格瓦尔·埃莱夫森·多茨奥尔
27%
雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼 33.0%
路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚 30.0%
菲德尔·楚拉 16.9%
理查德·安德烈斯·戈麦斯 10.3%
$15,210 交易量
$15,210 交易量
2026-03-22
雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼
$0 交易量
33%
路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚
$8,423 交易量
50%
菲德尔·楚拉
$0 交易量
17%
理查德·安德烈斯·戈麦斯
$1,218 交易量
10%
奥古斯托·萨图尔尼诺·奥布利塔斯
$1,245 交易量
4%
拉斐尔·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯
$0 交易量
3%
赫尔曼·里韦罗斯
$1,123 交易量
3%
费利克斯·帕茨
$1,927 交易量
2%
德梅特里奥·维尔卡
$0 交易量
1%
奥兰多·卡利萨亚
$0 交易量
<1%
瓜尔贝托·库西
$0 交易量
<1%
桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩
$1,273 交易量
7%
克莱门特·古铁雷斯
$0 交易量
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
$0 交易量
<1%
英格瓦尔·埃莱夫森·多茨奥尔
$0 交易量
27%
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 50% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the fragmented March 22 subnational first-round vote, where he led with 20% as the Patria-SOL alliance candidate aligned with President Rodrigo Paz. René Yahuasi Calamani advanced to the April 19 runoff with 9.2% via strength in El Alto and rural provinces, while Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's near-33% odds reflect potential vote transfers from his Somos La Paz base and other eliminated contenders amid high fragmentation. Revilla's edge stems from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and urban support; an April 12 debate could sway undecideds in this closely contested race.
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
交易量
$15,210结束日期
2026-03-22市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 50% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the fragmented March 22 subnational first-round vote, where he led with 20% as the Patria-SOL alliance candidate aligned with President Rodrigo Paz. René Yahuasi Calamani advanced to the April 19 runoff with 9.2% via strength in El Alto and rural provinces, while Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's near-33% odds reflect potential vote transfers from his Somos La Paz base and other eliminated contenders amid high fragmentation. Revilla's edge stems from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and urban support; an April 12 debate could sway undecideds in this closely contested race.
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$15,210结束日期
2026-03-22市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 50% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the fragmented March 22 subnational first-round vote, where he led with 20% as the Patria-SOL alliance candidate aligned with President Rodrigo Paz. René Yahuasi Calamani advanced to the April 19 runoff with 9.2% via strength in El Alto and rural provinces, while Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer's near-33% odds reflect potential vote transfers from his Somos La Paz base and other eliminated contenders amid high fragmentation. Revilla's edge stems from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and urban support; an April 12 debate could sway undecideds in this closely contested race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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