Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr's bid for U.S. Senate, features a strong Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump winning by 15 points in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 75.5% for the GOP. Crowded primaries on May 19 pit well-funded Republicans like self-funder Adam Perez Arquette, who raised over $3.3 million, against Democrats including Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson, but the district's historical patterns—Barr's consistent 63% victories—and GOP fundraising edge limit Democratic paths to victory even amid DCCC targeting as a critical race. Recent March primary debates highlighted candidate visions without shifting fundamentals, with no new polls emerging ahead of the general election on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,633 交易量
$10,633 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
25%
$10,633 交易量
$10,633 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,707 交易量
76%
民主党
$5,926 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr's bid for U.S. Senate, features a strong Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump winning by 15 points in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 75.5% for the GOP. Crowded primaries on May 19 pit well-funded Republicans like self-funder Adam Perez Arquette, who raised over $3.3 million, against Democrats including Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson, but the district's historical patterns—Barr's consistent 63% victories—and GOP fundraising edge limit Democratic paths to victory even amid DCCC targeting as a critical race. Recent March primary debates highlighted candidate visions without shifting fundamentals, with no new polls emerging ahead of the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,633结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr's bid for U.S. Senate, features a strong Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump winning by 15 points in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 75.5% for the GOP. Crowded primaries on May 19 pit well-funded Republicans like self-funder Adam Perez Arquette, who raised over $3.3 million, against Democrats including Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson, but the district's historical patterns—Barr's consistent 63% victories—and GOP fundraising edge limit Democratic paths to victory even amid DCCC targeting as a critical race. Recent March primary debates highlighted candidate visions without shifting fundamentals, with no new polls emerging ahead of the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,633结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr's bid for U.S. Senate, features a strong Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump winning by 15 points in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 75.5% for the GOP. Crowded primaries on May 19 pit well-funded Republicans like self-funder Adam Perez Arquette, who raised over $3.3 million, against Democrats including Zach Dembo and Cherlynn Stevenson, but the district's historical patterns—Barr's consistent 63% victories—and GOP fundraising edge limit Democratic paths to victory even amid DCCC targeting as a critical race. Recent March primary debates highlighted candidate visions without shifting fundamentals, with no new polls emerging ahead of the general election on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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