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政治·主要

肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者

安迪·巴尔 66%

丹尼尔·卡梅伦 18.2%

内特·莫里斯 15.4%

安德鲁·谢利 <1%

Polymarket

$99,401 交易量

安迪·巴尔 66%

丹尼尔·卡梅伦 18.2%

内特·莫里斯 15.4%

安德鲁·谢利 <1%

Polymarket

$99,401 交易量

安迪·巴尔

$9,507 交易量

66%

丹尼尔·卡梅伦

$10,268 交易量

18%

内特·莫里斯

$7,621 交易量

15%

安德鲁·谢利

$53,417 交易量

1%

温迪·肯尼迪

$10,634 交易量

<1%

迈克·法里斯

$7,955 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Kentucky's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by the latest Emerson College/FOX 56 poll from March 29-31 showing him at 28% among likely GOP voters, up 4 points from February, ahead of former Attorney General Daniel Cameron at 21% and businessman Nate Morris at 15%, with 29% undecided. Barr's momentum stems from strong fundraising enabling dominant TV ad buys alongside Morris, his portrayal as Trump-aligned, and consolidation of support in the open seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Cameron benefits from name recognition as the 2023 gubernatorial nominee, while Morris gains from a recent CPAC endorsement, but both trail amid a fragmented field. Upcoming early voting could shift dynamics as undecideds break.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$99,401
结束日期
2026-05-19
市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Barr holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Kentucky's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by the latest Emerson College/FOX 56 poll from March 29-31 showing him at 28% among likely GOP voters, up 4 points from February, ahead of former Attorney General Daniel Cameron at 21% and businessman Nate Morris at 15%, with 29% undecided. Barr's momentum stems from strong fundraising enabling dominant TV ad buys alongside Morris, his portrayal as Trump-aligned, and consolidation of support in the open seat race to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Cameron benefits from name recognition as the 2023 gubernatorial nominee, while Morris gains from a recent CPAC endorsement, but both trail amid a fragmented field. Upcoming early voting could shift dynamics as undecideds break.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$99,401
结束日期
2026-05-19
市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"安迪·巴尔"，概率为 66%，其次是"丹尼尔·卡梅伦"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 66¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $99.4K 的总交易量（自Dec 1, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"安迪·巴尔"，概率为 66%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 66%。紧随其后的结果是"丹尼尔·卡梅伦"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"肯塔基州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。