Vice President JD Vance engaged Pakistani intermediaries on March 31 in closed-door talks, delivering a secret message from President Trump signaling openness to an Iran ceasefire if U.S. demands on nuclear enrichment and terrorism support are met. Iran has expressed preference for Vance as lead negotiator over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, with Pakistan proposing Islamabad as a venue for potential dialogue. However, Tehran publicly denies negotiation plans amid escalated military tensions from recent U.S. strikes, and no direct diplomatic meeting between Vance and Iranian officials has occurred. Back-channel efforts underscore Vance's de-escalation role, but confirmation of in-person talks remains uncertain before the April 30 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$262,413 交易量
2026-04-30
4月10日
4%
4 月 30 日
15%
$262,413 交易量
4月10日
$91,739 交易量
4%
4 月 30 日
$11,625 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance engaged Pakistani intermediaries on March 31 in closed-door talks, delivering a secret message from President Trump signaling openness to an Iran ceasefire if U.S. demands on nuclear enrichment and terrorism support are met. Iran has expressed preference for Vance as lead negotiator over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, with Pakistan proposing Islamabad as a venue for potential dialogue. However, Tehran publicly denies negotiation plans amid escalated military tensions from recent U.S. strikes, and no direct diplomatic meeting between Vance and Iranian officials has occurred. Back-channel efforts underscore Vance's de-escalation role, but confirmation of in-person talks remains uncertain before the April 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
交易量
$262,413结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance engaged Pakistani intermediaries on March 31 in closed-door talks, delivering a secret message from President Trump signaling openness to an Iran ceasefire if U.S. demands on nuclear enrichment and terrorism support are met. Iran has expressed preference for Vance as lead negotiator over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, with Pakistan proposing Islamabad as a venue for potential dialogue. However, Tehran publicly denies negotiation plans amid escalated military tensions from recent U.S. strikes, and no direct diplomatic meeting between Vance and Iranian officials has occurred. Back-channel efforts underscore Vance's de-escalation role, but confirmation of in-person talks remains uncertain before the April 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$262,413结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance engaged Pakistani intermediaries on March 31 in closed-door talks, delivering a secret message from President Trump signaling openness to an Iran ceasefire if U.S. demands on nuclear enrichment and terrorism support are met. Iran has expressed preference for Vance as lead negotiator over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, with Pakistan proposing Islamabad as a venue for potential dialogue. However, Tehran publicly denies negotiation plans amid escalated military tensions from recent U.S. strikes, and no direct diplomatic meeting between Vance and Iranian officials has occurred. Back-channel efforts underscore Vance's de-escalation role, but confirmation of in-person talks remains uncertain before the April 30 resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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