Market icon
政治·主要

爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者

兰迪·芬斯特拉 69%

亚当·斯廷 15%

扎克·兰恩 14.4%

埃迪·安德鲁斯 2.9%

Polymarket
最新

兰迪·芬斯特拉 69%

亚当·斯廷 15%

扎克·兰恩 14.4%

埃迪·安德鲁斯 2.9%

Polymarket
最新

兰迪·芬斯特拉

$670 交易量

69%

亚当·斯廷

$1,249 交易量

15%

扎克·兰恩

$3,421 交易量

14%

埃迪·安德鲁斯

$0 交易量

3%

布拉德·舍曼

$2,871 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra at 68.5% to win Iowa's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his congressional incumbency advantage, record off-year fundraising of $4.3 million in 2025, and high-profile endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18. Recent seven-figure ad buys, including a second wave last week, amplify his visibility amid a crowded field finalized after the March 17 filing deadline. Challengers Adam Steen (15%) and Zach Lahn (13.2%) draw grassroots conservative support in Iowa Standard polls and county straw polls, while Eddie Andrews (3.8%) cleared a signature challenge March 26 and Brad Sherman (2.1%) trails. Tensions escalated at the March 26 Polk County Lincoln Dinner as candidates debate ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,211
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra at 68.5% to win Iowa's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his congressional incumbency advantage, record off-year fundraising of $4.3 million in 2025, and high-profile endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18. Recent seven-figure ad buys, including a second wave last week, amplify his visibility amid a crowded field finalized after the March 17 filing deadline. Challengers Adam Steen (15%) and Zach Lahn (13.2%) draw grassroots conservative support in Iowa Standard polls and county straw polls, while Eddie Andrews (3.8%) cleared a signature challenge March 26 and Brad Sherman (2.1%) trails. Tensions escalated at the March 26 Polk County Lincoln Dinner as candidates debate ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,211
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"兰迪·芬斯特拉"，概率为 69%，其次是"亚当·斯廷"，概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 69¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 69%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Dec 9, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"兰迪·芬斯特拉"，概率为 69%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 69%。紧随其后的结果是"亚当·斯廷"，概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"爱荷华州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。