Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors TISZA at 64.5% to win Hungary's parliamentary election, reflecting recent polling averages showing the party, led by challenger Péter Magyar, leading incumbent Fidesz-KDNP by 5–10 points nationally. Magyar's rapid rise since launching TISZA in March 2024—fueled by his strong 29% showing in June's European Parliament elections and criticism of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's administration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and Ukraine policy—has unified fragmented opposition voters ahead of the April 2026 vote. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 35.5% amid vulnerabilities in swing districts under Hungary's mixed electoral system of single-member constituencies and proportional representation, though its organizational edge and gerrymandering could narrow gaps. Upcoming debates and regional primaries may shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于TISZA 65%
青民盟–基民党联盟 36%
动量运动 <1%
DK <1%
$40,781,372 交易量
$40,781,372 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
65%
青民盟–基民党联盟
36%
动量运动
<1%
DK
<1%
匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)
<1%
MSZP
<1%
我们的祖国运动
<1%
对话党
<1%
尤比克
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 65%
青民盟–基民党联盟 36%
动量运动 <1%
DK <1%
$40,781,372 交易量
$40,781,372 交易量
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$670,843 交易量
65%
青民盟–基民党联盟
$926,633 交易量
36%
动量运动
$509,140 交易量
<1%
DK
$2,087,715 交易量
<1%
匈牙利绿色党 (LMP)
$14,321,357 交易量
<1%
MSZP
$0 交易量
<1%
我们的祖国运动
$404,765 交易量
<1%
对话党
$7,086,484 交易量
<1%
尤比克
$14,774,436 交易量
<1%
KDNP
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors TISZA at 64.5% to win Hungary's parliamentary election, reflecting recent polling averages showing the party, led by challenger Péter Magyar, leading incumbent Fidesz-KDNP by 5–10 points nationally. Magyar's rapid rise since launching TISZA in March 2024—fueled by his strong 29% showing in June's European Parliament elections and criticism of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's administration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and Ukraine policy—has unified fragmented opposition voters ahead of the April 2026 vote. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 35.5% amid vulnerabilities in swing districts under Hungary's mixed electoral system of single-member constituencies and proportional representation, though its organizational edge and gerrymandering could narrow gaps. Upcoming debates and regional primaries may shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$40,781,372结束日期
Apr 12, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors TISZA at 64.5% to win Hungary's parliamentary election, reflecting recent polling averages showing the party, led by challenger Péter Magyar, leading incumbent Fidesz-KDNP by 5–10 points nationally. Magyar's rapid rise since launching TISZA in March 2024—fueled by his strong 29% showing in June's European Parliament elections and criticism of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's administration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and Ukraine policy—has unified fragmented opposition voters ahead of the April 2026 vote. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 35.5% amid vulnerabilities in swing districts under Hungary's mixed electoral system of single-member constituencies and proportional representation, though its organizational edge and gerrymandering could narrow gaps. Upcoming debates and regional primaries may shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$40,781,372结束日期
Apr 12, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors TISZA at 64.5% to win Hungary's parliamentary election, reflecting recent polling averages showing the party, led by challenger Péter Magyar, leading incumbent Fidesz-KDNP by 5–10 points nationally. Magyar's rapid rise since launching TISZA in March 2024—fueled by his strong 29% showing in June's European Parliament elections and criticism of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's administration over corruption scandals, economic stagnation, and Ukraine policy—has unified fragmented opposition voters ahead of the April 2026 vote. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 35.5% amid vulnerabilities in swing districts under Hungary's mixed electoral system of single-member constituencies and proportional representation, though its organizational edge and gerrymandering could narrow gaps. Upcoming debates and regional primaries may shift dynamics in this closely watched contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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