Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest in the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS (UDF 58–69 seats) and Manorama-C Voter (mixed district leads, UDF edge in IUML bastions like Malappuram) driving clustered probabilities for IUML at 16–21 seats from its 27 contested under seat-sharing pacts. IUML, holding 15 seats in 2021, solidified its lineup March 18 with two women candidates for the first time and quelled internal rows like Randathani's, amid CPI(M) overtures to rebels. Swing seats under 3% margins and Muslim turnout in Kozhikode-Malappuram could push toward 22+ or pull below 16, ahead of May 4 counting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于19–21 40%
13–15 37%
22+ 14%
少于10 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
少于10
10%
10–12
9%
13–15
37%
16–18
40%
19–21
40%
22+
18%
19–21 40%
13–15 37%
22+ 14%
少于10 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
少于10
$183 交易量
10%
10–12
$0 交易量
9%
13–15
$0 交易量
37%
16–18
$6,920 交易量
40%
19–21
$0 交易量
40%
22+
$66 交易量
18%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest in the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS (UDF 58–69 seats) and Manorama-C Voter (mixed district leads, UDF edge in IUML bastions like Malappuram) driving clustered probabilities for IUML at 16–21 seats from its 27 contested under seat-sharing pacts. IUML, holding 15 seats in 2021, solidified its lineup March 18 with two women candidates for the first time and quelled internal rows like Randathani's, amid CPI(M) overtures to rebels. Swing seats under 3% margins and Muslim turnout in Kozhikode-Malappuram could push toward 22+ or pull below 16, ahead of May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
交易量
$7,169结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest in the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS (UDF 58–69 seats) and Manorama-C Voter (mixed district leads, UDF edge in IUML bastions like Malappuram) driving clustered probabilities for IUML at 16–21 seats from its 27 contested under seat-sharing pacts. IUML, holding 15 seats in 2021, solidified its lineup March 18 with two women candidates for the first time and quelled internal rows like Randathani's, amid CPI(M) overtures to rebels. Swing seats under 3% margins and Muslim turnout in Kozhikode-Malappuram could push toward 22+ or pull below 16, ahead of May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$7,169结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest in the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with recent opinion polls like Matrize-IANS (UDF 58–69 seats) and Manorama-C Voter (mixed district leads, UDF edge in IUML bastions like Malappuram) driving clustered probabilities for IUML at 16–21 seats from its 27 contested under seat-sharing pacts. IUML, holding 15 seats in 2021, solidified its lineup March 18 with two women candidates for the first time and quelled internal rows like Randathani's, amid CPI(M) overtures to rebels. Swing seats under 3% margins and Muslim turnout in Kozhikode-Malappuram could push toward 22+ or pull below 16, ahead of May 4 counting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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