Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2 32%
1 30%
3 15%
0 5%
$10,150 交易量
$10,150 交易量
2026-04-29
0
5%
1
44%
2
44%
3
15%
4+
3%
2 32%
1 30%
3 15%
0 5%
$10,150 交易量
$10,150 交易量
2026-04-29
0
$3,162 交易量
5%
1
$5,877 交易量
44%
2
$287 交易量
44%
3
$181 交易量
15%
4+
$642 交易量
3%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
交易量
$10,150结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,150结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between one (41.5%) and two (46.0%) dissents at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting deepening policy tensions amid softening labor data and persistent inflation risks. The March 17-18 session saw a unanimous hold at 3.50%-3.75% except for lone dissenter Governor Stephen Miran advocating a cut, following two prior meetings with dove dissents from Miran and Waller pushing for easing against hawkish caution. March dot plot reaffirmed a median one 25-basis-point cut for 2026 end but with wider dispersion, signaling debate on timing as CME FedWatch implies >90% hold odds. Key swing factors ahead: March nonfarm payrolls on April 4 and CPI release, potentially amplifying dual-mandate frictions and dissent counts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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