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政府关闭将持续多长时间?

Market icon

政府关闭将持续多长时间?

$23,495,074 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$23,495,074 交易量

Polymarket

1天以上

$2,164,197 交易量

2天或以上

$424,934 交易量

3天及以上

$2,986,464 交易量

4天以上

$4,389,036 交易量

5天以上

$6,260,856 交易量

6天以上

$1,251,150 交易量

10天以上

$1,238,745 交易量

7天以上

$2,275,570 交易量

14天以上

$1,157,027 交易量

30天以上

$933,496 交易量

60天以上

$413,600 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$23,495,074
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"政府关闭将持续多长时间?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1天以上",概率为 100%,其次是"2天或以上",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"政府关闭将持续多长时间?"已产生 $23.5 million 的总交易量(自Jan 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"政府关闭将持续多长时间?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"政府关闭将持续多长时间?"的当前领先者是"1天以上",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"2天或以上",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"政府关闭将持续多长时间?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。