President Donald Trump's approval ratings have plunged to second-term lows in the low 30s per recent CNN, Economist, and RealClearPolitics averages, reflecting trader concerns over the past week's escalation in the Iran war, which has spiked gas prices above $4 per gallon and correlated historically with presidential popularity declines. A partial government shutdown has compounded economic unease, with inflation and foreign policy approvals also hitting new lows, even among Republicans and younger voters. Key upcoming catalysts include potential war de-escalation, shutdown resolution via continuing resolution, midterm election dynamics, and economic indicators like jobs reports, all of which could drive a rebound or further erosion through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
9%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
$2,957 交易量
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
9%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市场开放时间: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's approval ratings have plunged to second-term lows in the low 30s per recent CNN, Economist, and RealClearPolitics averages, reflecting trader concerns over the past week's escalation in the Iran war, which has spiked gas prices above $4 per gallon and correlated historically with presidential popularity declines. A partial government shutdown has compounded economic unease, with inflation and foreign policy approvals also hitting new lows, even among Republicans and younger voters. Key upcoming catalysts include potential war de-escalation, shutdown resolution via continuing resolution, midterm election dynamics, and economic indicators like jobs reports, all of which could drive a rebound or further erosion through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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