The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.44% on March 27, 2026—its highest since July 2025—amid weak auction demand highlighting U.S. debt burden risks, before retreating to 4.34% by March 31 on economic concerns including a downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook post-March 17-18 FOMC meeting where policy remained restrictive. Trader sentiment reflects balanced risk appetite, with 10-year yields trading around 4.30% on April 1. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data that could shift rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于到3月31日， 10年期国债收益率将达到多高？
到3月31日， 10年期国债收益率将达到多高？
$273,873 交易量
2026-03-31
4.5%
<1%
4.6%
<1%
4.8%
<1%
5.0%
<1%
$273,873 交易量
4.5%
$70,934 交易量
<1%
4.6%
$26,445 交易量
<1%
4.8%
$30,073 交易量
<1%
5.0%
$32,461 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.44% on March 27, 2026—its highest since July 2025—amid weak auction demand highlighting U.S. debt burden risks, before retreating to 4.34% by March 31 on economic concerns including a downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook post-March 17-18 FOMC meeting where policy remained restrictive. Trader sentiment reflects balanced risk appetite, with 10-year yields trading around 4.30% on April 1. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data that could shift rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET
交易量
$273,873结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.44% on March 27, 2026—its highest since July 2025—amid weak auction demand highlighting U.S. debt burden risks, before retreating to 4.34% by March 31 on economic concerns including a downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook post-March 17-18 FOMC meeting where policy remained restrictive. Trader sentiment reflects balanced risk appetite, with 10-year yields trading around 4.30% on April 1. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data that could shift rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$273,873结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.44% on March 27, 2026—its highest since July 2025—amid weak auction demand highlighting U.S. debt burden risks, before retreating to 4.34% by March 31 on economic concerns including a downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook post-March 17-18 FOMC meeting where policy remained restrictive. Trader sentiment reflects balanced risk appetite, with 10-year yields trading around 4.30% on April 1. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, alongside nonfarm payrolls data that could shift rate cut expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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