The 10-year Treasury yield trades near 4.35% as of March 30, 2026, with traders pricing in steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year through February amid the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range following March's decision. A downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized and unemployment rising to 4.4% have tempered upside pressures, fostering a flat yield curve out to 10 years. Consensus forecasts see only gradual drifts toward 4.25% over the next year, balancing resilient labor markets against slowing growth. Critical ahead: March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations through 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$164,905 交易量
2026-12-31
4.5%
92%
4.6%
64%
4.8%
45%
5.0%
27%
5.2%
18%
5.5%
13%
5.7%
13%
6.0%
9%
$164,905 交易量
4.5%
$17,858 交易量
92%
4.6%
$33,863 交易量
64%
4.8%
$43,188 交易量
45%
5.0%
$30,276 交易量
27%
5.2%
$7,558 交易量
18%
5.5%
$1,072 交易量
13%
5.7%
$2,434 交易量
13%
6.0%
$1,689 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield trades near 4.35% as of March 30, 2026, with traders pricing in steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year through February amid the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range following March's decision. A downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized and unemployment rising to 4.4% have tempered upside pressures, fostering a flat yield curve out to 10 years. Consensus forecasts see only gradual drifts toward 4.25% over the next year, balancing resilient labor markets against slowing growth. Critical ahead: March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$164,905结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield trades near 4.35% as of March 30, 2026, with traders pricing in steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year through February amid the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range following March's decision. A downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized and unemployment rising to 4.4% have tempered upside pressures, fostering a flat yield curve out to 10 years. Consensus forecasts see only gradual drifts toward 4.25% over the next year, balancing resilient labor markets against slowing growth. Critical ahead: March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$164,905结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield trades near 4.35% as of March 30, 2026, with traders pricing in steady inflation at 2.4% year-over-year through February amid the Federal Reserve's pause at a 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range following March's decision. A downward Q4 2025 GDP revision to 0.7% annualized and unemployment rising to 4.4% have tempered upside pressures, fostering a flat yield curve out to 10 years. Consensus forecasts see only gradual drifts toward 4.25% over the next year, balancing resilient labor markets against slowing growth. Critical ahead: March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, where dot plot updates could shift rate path expectations through 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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