Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast, showing a warming trend toward Easter Sunday, April 5, with Warsaw highs projected at 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies and possible brief rain—elevating implied probabilities for 17-20°C outcomes amid clustered model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. This marks a shift from early-week frosts and 8-13°C highs, driven by an upper-level ridge ushering milder Atlantic air masses into central Poland, above the early-April climatological average of ~12°C. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from ensemble spread in peak insolation and cloud timing, with daily IMGW and model updates through April 4 potentially refining the exact maximum before official IMGW observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 5?
18°C 24%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
13%
17°C
17%
18°C
24%
19°C
18%
20°C
13%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
8%
18°C 24%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
12°C or below
$21 交易量
1%
13°C
$20 交易量
5%
14°C
$36 交易量
8%
15°C
$30 交易量
13%
16°C
$6 交易量
13%
17°C
$0 交易量
17%
18°C
$6 交易量
24%
19°C
$32 交易量
18%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C or higher
$10 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast, showing a warming trend toward Easter Sunday, April 5, with Warsaw highs projected at 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies and possible brief rain—elevating implied probabilities for 17-20°C outcomes amid clustered model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. This marks a shift from early-week frosts and 8-13°C highs, driven by an upper-level ridge ushering milder Atlantic air masses into central Poland, above the early-April climatological average of ~12°C. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from ensemble spread in peak insolation and cloud timing, with daily IMGW and model updates through April 4 potentially refining the exact maximum before official IMGW observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast, showing a warming trend toward Easter Sunday, April 5, with Warsaw highs projected at 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies and possible brief rain—elevating implied probabilities for 17-20°C outcomes amid clustered model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. This marks a shift from early-week frosts and 8-13°C highs, driven by an upper-level ridge ushering milder Atlantic air masses into central Poland, above the early-April climatological average of ~12°C. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from ensemble spread in peak insolation and cloud timing, with daily IMGW and model updates through April 4 potentially refining the exact maximum before official IMGW observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$161结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) weekly forecast, showing a warming trend toward Easter Sunday, April 5, with Warsaw highs projected at 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies and possible brief rain—elevating implied probabilities for 17-20°C outcomes amid clustered model outputs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. This marks a shift from early-week frosts and 8-13°C highs, driven by an upper-level ridge ushering milder Atlantic air masses into central Poland, above the early-April climatological average of ~12°C. Differentiation among top outcomes stems from ensemble spread in peak insolation and cloud timing, with daily IMGW and model updates through April 4 potentially refining the exact maximum before official IMGW observations resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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