Ensemble model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 converging tightly around 19–22°C, reflected in trader consensus with 20°C and 21°C leading at similar implied probabilities near 28% and 27.5%. Recent unseasonably warm conditions in the coastal plain, as noted by the Israel Meteorological Service, featured highs near 26°C earlier this week amid easterly winds, but evolving upper-air patterns and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to moderate peaks via enhanced coastal cooling and potential mid-level cloudiness. Historical April averages hover at 23°C, underscoring spring variability; key differentiators include precip chances around 40–50% and wind shifts that could tip outcomes by 1–2°C. Watch IMS updates and new 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日特拉维夫气温最高?
4月5日特拉维夫气温最高?
20°C 27%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 18%
16℃或以下
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
22%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
2%
20°C 27%
21°C 26%
19°C 22%
22°C 18%
16℃或以下
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
22%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 converging tightly around 19–22°C, reflected in trader consensus with 20°C and 21°C leading at similar implied probabilities near 28% and 27.5%. Recent unseasonably warm conditions in the coastal plain, as noted by the Israel Meteorological Service, featured highs near 26°C earlier this week amid easterly winds, but evolving upper-air patterns and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to moderate peaks via enhanced coastal cooling and potential mid-level cloudiness. Historical April averages hover at 23°C, underscoring spring variability; key differentiators include precip chances around 40–50% and wind shifts that could tip outcomes by 1–2°C. Watch IMS updates and new 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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