Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai's Xujiahui Observatory on April 1, driven by midday observations peaking near 20–21°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds from the East China Sea, exceeding early April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles converged on this outcome pre-dawn, with real-time data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud interference on solar heating. While inherent measurement variability exists, scenarios challenging this—such as late-afternoon cooling from unexpected showers or station calibration adjustments—are improbable given the day's progression and consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final daily records expected by evening UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$432,249 交易量
$432,249 交易量
2026-04-01
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$432,249 交易量
$432,249 交易量
2026-04-01
14°C or below
$7,585 交易量
No
15°C
$12,472 交易量
No
16°C
$14,306 交易量
No
17°C
$52,079 交易量
No
18°C
$47,989 交易量
No
19°C
$55,750 交易量
No
20°C
$69,696 交易量
No
21°C
$63,846 交易量
Yes
22°C
$46,915 交易量
No
23°C
$33,495 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$28,115 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai's Xujiahui Observatory on April 1, driven by midday observations peaking near 20–21°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds from the East China Sea, exceeding early April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles converged on this outcome pre-dawn, with real-time data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud interference on solar heating. While inherent measurement variability exists, scenarios challenging this—such as late-afternoon cooling from unexpected showers or station calibration adjustments—are improbable given the day's progression and consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final daily records expected by evening UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$432,249结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai's Xujiahui Observatory on April 1, driven by midday observations peaking near 20–21°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds from the East China Sea, exceeding early April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles converged on this outcome pre-dawn, with real-time data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud interference on solar heating. While inherent measurement variability exists, scenarios challenging this—such as late-afternoon cooling from unexpected showers or station calibration adjustments—are improbable given the day's progression and consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final daily records expected by evening UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$432,249结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Shanghai's Xujiahui Observatory on April 1, driven by midday observations peaking near 20–21°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds from the East China Sea, exceeding early April climatological averages of 18–19°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles converged on this outcome pre-dawn, with real-time data from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud interference on solar heating. While inherent measurement variability exists, scenarios challenging this—such as late-afternoon cooling from unexpected showers or station calibration adjustments—are improbable given the day's progression and consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final daily records expected by evening UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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