Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,420 交易量
$72,420 交易量
2026-03-28
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$72,420 交易量
$72,420 交易量
2026-03-28
14°C or below
$3,412 交易量
No
15°C
$4,010 交易量
No
16°C
$21,145 交易量
Yes
17°C
$8,877 交易量
No
18°C
$5,061 交易量
No
19°C
$6,369 交易量
No
20°C
$5,909 交易量
No
21°C
$6,460 交易量
No
22°C
$4,743 交易量
No
23°C
$3,914 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$2,521 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
交易量
$72,420结束日期
2026-03-28市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,420结束日期
2026-03-28市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 16°C in Chongqing on March 28, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport and China Meteorological Administration stations showing peak readings at exactly 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain. Thick cloud cover suppressed solar heating, limiting daytime highs despite early forecasts around 20°C, aligning with a cool frontal system influencing the region. Hourly METAR data confirms no exceedance, reflecting spring climatology where March averages hover near 17°C but vary with moisture-laden air masses. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon clearing yielding a higher peripheral station report before resolution, though current trends and proximity to day's end minimize such risks. Final CMA daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题