Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?
19°C 24%
21°C or higher 22%
18°C 19%
20°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
17%
16°C
16%
17°C
18%
18°C
19%
19°C
24%
20°C
19%
21°C or higher
22%
19°C 24%
21°C or higher 22%
18°C 19%
20°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
11°C or below
$145 交易量
3%
12°C
$198 交易量
1%
13°C
$244 交易量
1%
14°C
$351 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$0 交易量
16%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
19%
19°C
$6 交易量
24%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C or higher
$0 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$944结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$944结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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