Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), where the maximum reached 40°F early in the day amid a low of 36°F. This positioning reflects a cool air mass ushered in by a cold front after late-March record warmth (87°F on March 30), with persistent overcast skies suppressing daytime heating, gusty northeast winds up to 32 mph, and light precipitation of 0.10 inches—conditions 13°F below the climatological April 1 normal of 53°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from sensor quality checks or quality-controlled NOAA datasets, though multiple sources confirm consistency, minimizing uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$182,565 交易量
$182,565 交易量
2026-04-01
40-41°F
100%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52°F or higher
<1%
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$182,565 交易量
$182,565 交易量
2026-04-01
40-41°F
$21,249 交易量
100%
42-43°F
$15,014 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$14,472 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$12,770 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$11,459 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$11,218 交易量
<1%
52°F or higher
$35,274 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), where the maximum reached 40°F early in the day amid a low of 36°F. This positioning reflects a cool air mass ushered in by a cold front after late-March record warmth (87°F on March 30), with persistent overcast skies suppressing daytime heating, gusty northeast winds up to 32 mph, and light precipitation of 0.10 inches—conditions 13°F below the climatological April 1 normal of 53°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from sensor quality checks or quality-controlled NOAA datasets, though multiple sources confirm consistency, minimizing uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$182,565结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), where the maximum reached 40°F early in the day amid a low of 36°F. This positioning reflects a cool air mass ushered in by a cold front after late-March record warmth (87°F on March 30), with persistent overcast skies suppressing daytime heating, gusty northeast winds up to 32 mph, and light precipitation of 0.10 inches—conditions 13°F below the climatological April 1 normal of 53°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from sensor quality checks or quality-controlled NOAA datasets, though multiple sources confirm consistency, minimizing uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$182,565结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 40-41°F at 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 1, 2026, backed by official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), where the maximum reached 40°F early in the day amid a low of 36°F. This positioning reflects a cool air mass ushered in by a cold front after late-March record warmth (87°F on March 30), with persistent overcast skies suppressing daytime heating, gusty northeast winds up to 32 mph, and light precipitation of 0.10 inches—conditions 13°F below the climatological April 1 normal of 53°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from sensor quality checks or quality-controlled NOAA datasets, though multiple sources confirm consistency, minimizing uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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