President Gustavo Petro remains firmly in office as Colombia's leader, constitutionally term-limited and set to depart after August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election inauguration, driving trader consensus to 95% odds of exit by December 31 but just 2% by June 30. Recent congressional elections on March 9 strengthened his Historic Pact as the largest bloc, though short of a majority for reforms, amid rising approval ratings signaling left-wing resurgence. A March 20 U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, which Petro denies, and March 31 tensions with the central bank over rate hikes highlight frictions, but no active impeachment or removal proceedings exist, with Congress unlikely to pursue absent major escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$152,975 交易量
2026-06-30
6月30日
2%
12月31日
95%
$152,975 交易量
6月30日
$121,596 交易量
2%
12月31日
$31,379 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gustavo Petro remains firmly in office as Colombia's leader, constitutionally term-limited and set to depart after August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election inauguration, driving trader consensus to 95% odds of exit by December 31 but just 2% by June 30. Recent congressional elections on March 9 strengthened his Historic Pact as the largest bloc, though short of a majority for reforms, amid rising approval ratings signaling left-wing resurgence. A March 20 U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, which Petro denies, and March 31 tensions with the central bank over rate hikes highlight frictions, but no active impeachment or removal proceedings exist, with Congress unlikely to pursue absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
交易量
$152,975结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gustavo Petro remains firmly in office as Colombia's leader, constitutionally term-limited and set to depart after August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election inauguration, driving trader consensus to 95% odds of exit by December 31 but just 2% by June 30. Recent congressional elections on March 9 strengthened his Historic Pact as the largest bloc, though short of a majority for reforms, amid rising approval ratings signaling left-wing resurgence. A March 20 U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, which Petro denies, and March 31 tensions with the central bank over rate hikes highlight frictions, but no active impeachment or removal proceedings exist, with Congress unlikely to pursue absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$152,975结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Gustavo Petro remains firmly in office as Colombia's leader, constitutionally term-limited and set to depart after August 7, 2026, following the May 31 presidential election inauguration, driving trader consensus to 95% odds of exit by December 31 but just 2% by June 30. Recent congressional elections on March 9 strengthened his Historic Pact as the largest bloc, though short of a majority for reforms, amid rising approval ratings signaling left-wing resurgence. A March 20 U.S. probe into alleged drug ties, which Petro denies, and March 31 tensions with the central bank over rate hikes highlight frictions, but no active impeachment or removal proceedings exist, with Congress unlikely to pursue absent major escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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