Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent primary polling showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms consolidating support at 35-43% in Democratic surveys amid high undecideds, while the Republican primary remains fragmented with self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson leading at 37% (JMC Analytics, March 9) over Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (22%). GOP infighting escalated with Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads alleging ties to abortion and gender-affirming care providers, weakening the eventual nominee's path in this battleground state. Primaries on May 19 could shift dynamics, with suburban turnout and fundraising (Bottoms $2.2M, Jones $3.9M) key factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$30,170 交易量
$30,170 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
60%
共和党
40%
$30,170 交易量
$30,170 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$18,042 交易量
60%
共和党
$12,128 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent primary polling showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms consolidating support at 35-43% in Democratic surveys amid high undecideds, while the Republican primary remains fragmented with self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson leading at 37% (JMC Analytics, March 9) over Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (22%). GOP infighting escalated with Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads alleging ties to abortion and gender-affirming care providers, weakening the eventual nominee's path in this battleground state. Primaries on May 19 could shift dynamics, with suburban turnout and fundraising (Bottoms $2.2M, Jones $3.9M) key factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$30,170结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent primary polling showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms consolidating support at 35-43% in Democratic surveys amid high undecideds, while the Republican primary remains fragmented with self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson leading at 37% (JMC Analytics, March 9) over Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (22%). GOP infighting escalated with Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads alleging ties to abortion and gender-affirming care providers, weakening the eventual nominee's path in this battleground state. Primaries on May 19 could shift dynamics, with suburban turnout and fundraising (Bottoms $2.2M, Jones $3.9M) key factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$30,170结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic nominee at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent primary polling showing frontrunner Keisha Lance Bottoms consolidating support at 35-43% in Democratic surveys amid high undecideds, while the Republican primary remains fragmented with self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson leading at 37% (JMC Analytics, March 9) over Trump-endorsed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (22%). GOP infighting escalated with Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads alleging ties to abortion and gender-affirming care providers, weakening the eventual nominee's path in this battleground state. Primaries on May 19 could shift dynamics, with suburban turnout and fundraising (Bottoms $2.2M, Jones $3.9M) key factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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