Trader consensus favors DISY as the leading contender for the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives under proportional representation, with the May 24 election two months away, reflecting polls consistently showing the center-right party slightly ahead of AKEL amid high undecided voters—28.5% in Noverna's late February to mid-March survey (DISY 16.1%, AKEL 15.9%) and a similar edge in CyBC's early March poll (DISY 18%, AKEL 17.5%). ELAM polls third at 9-13% but trails significantly, while smaller parties like DIKO, DIPA, and Volt remain in low single digits. Recent volatility from undecideds and late deciders keeps the race competitive, with no major shifts in the past two weeks driving DISY's implied probability edge based on historical district strengths and campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于争取民主联盟(DISY) 59%
进步党 37%
DIPA 5.7%
ELAM 5.6%
争取民主联盟(DISY)
57%
进步党
37%
DIPA
6%
ELAM
6%
EDEK
5%
KOSP
5%
VOLT
5%
DIKO
4%
DNM(DEK)
1%
争取民主联盟(DISY) 59%
进步党 37%
DIPA 5.7%
ELAM 5.6%
争取民主联盟(DISY)
57%
进步党
37%
DIPA
6%
ELAM
6%
EDEK
5%
KOSP
5%
VOLT
5%
DIKO
4%
DNM(DEK)
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
市场开放时间: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors DISY as the leading contender for the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives under proportional representation, with the May 24 election two months away, reflecting polls consistently showing the center-right party slightly ahead of AKEL amid high undecided voters—28.5% in Noverna's late February to mid-March survey (DISY 16.1%, AKEL 15.9%) and a similar edge in CyBC's early March poll (DISY 18%, AKEL 17.5%). ELAM polls third at 9-13% but trails significantly, while smaller parties like DIKO, DIPA, and Volt remain in low single digits. Recent volatility from undecideds and late deciders keeps the race competitive, with no major shifts in the past two weeks driving DISY's implied probability edge based on historical district strengths and campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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