Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (83.5%) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, driven by preliminary vote tallies from the Registraduría Nacional showing the party with a substantial lead in national list votes behind the frontrunning Partido Conservador Colombiano. In the past 48 hours, results from over 85% of precincts—particularly strongholds like Antioquia—have widened CD's gap over Partido Liberal Colombiano (12.6%), which saw support erode amid internal divisions, while MIRA-CJL's evangelical base (3.6%) proved insufficient for a surge. Historic Pact's collapse to 0.8% mirrors President Petro's sinking approval on economic policy, underscoring opposition momentum; final certification expected soon could confirm this positioning absent recount disputes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于民主中心党（CD） 75.0%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） 12.6%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL） 5.5%
哥伦比亚历史契约联盟（PH） <1%
$86,886 交易量
$86,886 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
民主中心党（CD）
84%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
13%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
6%
哥伦比亚历史契约联盟（PH）
1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
<1%
绿色联盟（AV）
<1%
拉乌党（La U）
<1%
民主中心党（CD） 75.0%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC） 12.6%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL） 5.5%
哥伦比亚历史契约联盟（PH） <1%
$86,886 交易量
$86,886 交易量
Mar 8, 2026
民主中心党（CD）
$7,010 交易量
84%
哥伦比亚自由党（PLC）
$22,791 交易量
13%
MIRA-CJL联盟（MIRA-CJL）
$1,835 交易量
6%
哥伦比亚历史契约联盟（PH）
$55,251 交易量
1%
哥伦比亚保守党（保守党）
$0 交易量
<1%
激进变革党（CR）
$0 交易量
<1%
绿色联盟（AV）
$0 交易量
<1%
拉乌党（La U）
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (83.5%) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, driven by preliminary vote tallies from the Registraduría Nacional showing the party with a substantial lead in national list votes behind the frontrunning Partido Conservador Colombiano. In the past 48 hours, results from over 85% of precincts—particularly strongholds like Antioquia—have widened CD's gap over Partido Liberal Colombiano (12.6%), which saw support erode amid internal divisions, while MIRA-CJL's evangelical base (3.6%) proved insufficient for a surge. Historic Pact's collapse to 0.8% mirrors President Petro's sinking approval on economic policy, underscoring opposition momentum; final certification expected soon could confirm this positioning absent recount disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$86,886结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (83.5%) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, driven by preliminary vote tallies from the Registraduría Nacional showing the party with a substantial lead in national list votes behind the frontrunning Partido Conservador Colombiano. In the past 48 hours, results from over 85% of precincts—particularly strongholds like Antioquia—have widened CD's gap over Partido Liberal Colombiano (12.6%), which saw support erode amid internal divisions, while MIRA-CJL's evangelical base (3.6%) proved insufficient for a surge. Historic Pact's collapse to 0.8% mirrors President Petro's sinking approval on economic policy, underscoring opposition momentum; final certification expected soon could confirm this positioning absent recount disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$86,886结束日期
Mar 8, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Centro Democrático (83.5%) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election under proportional representation, driven by preliminary vote tallies from the Registraduría Nacional showing the party with a substantial lead in national list votes behind the frontrunning Partido Conservador Colombiano. In the past 48 hours, results from over 85% of precincts—particularly strongholds like Antioquia—have widened CD's gap over Partido Liberal Colombiano (12.6%), which saw support erode amid internal divisions, while MIRA-CJL's evangelical base (3.6%) proved insufficient for a surge. Historic Pact's collapse to 0.8% mirrors President Petro's sinking approval on economic policy, underscoring opposition momentum; final certification expected soon could confirm this positioning absent recount disputes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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