Incumbent Rep. Joe Neguse's dominant position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democrat with a D+20 partisan voting index by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic House win. Neguse's landslide reelections—68% in 2024 and 70% in 2022—paired with nearly $3 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025 dwarf challengers, including Democratic primary foe Cinque Mason and Republican contenders Christina Blunt and Kelley Dennison, who filed after the March 18 deadline. Absent recent catalysts, June 30 primaries represent the next potential shift, though structural district advantages persist. Realistic disruptions would require a Neguse primary upset, GOP consolidation behind a heavyweight nominee, personal scandal, or extraordinary national midterm Republican wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,099 交易量
$14,099 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$14,099 交易量
$14,099 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$14,099 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joe Neguse's dominant position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democrat with a D+20 partisan voting index by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic House win. Neguse's landslide reelections—68% in 2024 and 70% in 2022—paired with nearly $3 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025 dwarf challengers, including Democratic primary foe Cinque Mason and Republican contenders Christina Blunt and Kelley Dennison, who filed after the March 18 deadline. Absent recent catalysts, June 30 primaries represent the next potential shift, though structural district advantages persist. Realistic disruptions would require a Neguse primary upset, GOP consolidation behind a heavyweight nominee, personal scandal, or extraordinary national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,099结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joe Neguse's dominant position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democrat with a D+20 partisan voting index by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic House win. Neguse's landslide reelections—68% in 2024 and 70% in 2022—paired with nearly $3 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025 dwarf challengers, including Democratic primary foe Cinque Mason and Republican contenders Christina Blunt and Kelley Dennison, who filed after the March 18 deadline. Absent recent catalysts, June 30 primaries represent the next potential shift, though structural district advantages persist. Realistic disruptions would require a Neguse primary upset, GOP consolidation behind a heavyweight nominee, personal scandal, or extraordinary national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,099结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joe Neguse's dominant position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democrat with a D+20 partisan voting index by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus implying 93.5% odds for a Democratic House win. Neguse's landslide reelections—68% in 2024 and 70% in 2022—paired with nearly $3 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025 dwarf challengers, including Democratic primary foe Cinque Mason and Republican contenders Christina Blunt and Kelley Dennison, who filed after the March 18 deadline. Absent recent catalysts, June 30 primaries represent the next potential shift, though structural district advantages persist. Realistic disruptions would require a Neguse primary upset, GOP consolidation behind a heavyweight nominee, personal scandal, or extraordinary national midterm Republican wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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