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政治·加拿大选举

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Market icon
政治·加拿大选举

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 交易量

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$5,626,453 交易量

Conservatives by >12%

$1,002,694 交易量

No

Conservatives by 9-12%

$632,661 交易量

No

Conservatives by 6-9%

$799,994 交易量

No

Conservatives by 3-6%

$497,004 交易量

No

Conservatives by 0-3%

$414,492 交易量

No

Liberals by 0-3%

$614,690 交易量

Yes

Liberals by 3-6%

$387,321 交易量

No

Liberals by 6-9%

$416,385 交易量

No

Liberals by 9-12%

$402,167 交易量

No

Liberals by 12%

$357,681 交易量

No

Other

$101,363 交易量

No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$5,626,453
结束日期
2025-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$5,626,453
结束日期
2025-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Liberals by 0-3%"，概率为 100%，其次是"Conservatives by >12%"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"已产生 $5.6 million 的总交易量（自Mar 18, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"的当前领先者是"Liberals by 0-3%"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Conservatives by >12%"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。