Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Name: Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Start: 2025-06-30T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2025-06-30T12:00:00.000Z

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

$5,626,453 交易量

Oct 20, 2025

Conservatives by >12%
$1,002,694 交易量
No

Conservatives by 9-12%
$632,661 交易量
No

Conservatives by 6-9%
$799,994 交易量
No

Conservatives by 3-6%
$497,004 交易量
No

Conservatives by 0-3%
$414,492 交易量
No

Liberals by 0-3%
$614,690 交易量
Yes

Liberals by 3-6%
$387,321 交易量
No

Liberals by 6-9%
$416,385 交易量
No

Liberals by 9-12%
$402,167 交易量
No

Liberals by 12%
$357,681 交易量
No

Other
$101,363 交易量
No

规则

The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Politics·加拿大选举

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Liberals by 0-3% 100.0%

Conservatives by >12% <1%

Conservatives by 9-12% <1%

Conservatives by 6-9% <1%

$5,626,453 交易量

Oct 20, 2025

Conservatives by >12%

$1,002,694 交易量

Conservatives by 9-12%

$632,661 交易量

Conservatives by 6-9%

$799,994 交易量

Conservatives by 3-6%

$497,004 交易量

Conservatives by 0-3%

$414,492 交易量

Liberals by 0-3%

$614,690 交易量

Yes

Liberals by 3-6%

$387,321 交易量

Liberals by 6-9%

$416,385 交易量

Liberals by 9-12%

$402,167 交易量

Liberals by 12%

$357,681 交易量

Other

$101,363 交易量

关于

交易量

$5,626,453

结束日期

Jun 30, 2025

创建时间

Mar 18, 2025, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

警惕外部链接哦。

Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Conservatives by >12%
$1,002,694 交易量
No

Conservatives by 9-12%
$632,661 交易量
No

Conservatives by 6-9%
$799,994 交易量
No

Conservatives by 3-6%
$497,004 交易量
No

Conservatives by 0-3%
$414,492 交易量
No

Liberals by 0-3%
$614,690 交易量
Yes

Liberals by 3-6%
$387,321 交易量
No

Liberals by 6-9%
$416,385 交易量
No

Liberals by 9-12%
$402,167 交易量
No

Liberals by 12%
$357,681 交易量
No

Other
$101,363 交易量
No

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