Market icon
选举·世界选举

保加利亚总统选举

Market icon
选举·世界选举

保加利亚总统选举

伊莉安娜·约托娃 42%

尼科莱·登科夫 23%

鲍伊科·鲍里索夫 11.9%

罗森·热利亚兹科夫 11%

Polymarket

$60,047 交易量

伊莉安娜·约托娃 42%

尼科莱·登科夫 23%

鲍伊科·鲍里索夫 11.9%

罗森·热利亚兹科夫 11%

Polymarket

$60,047 交易量

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伊莉安娜·约托娃

$31,718 交易量

42%

Market icon

尼科莱·登科夫

$2,822 交易量

23%

Market icon

鲍伊科·鲍里索夫

$1,340 交易量

12%

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罗森·热利亚兹科夫

$15,733 交易量

11%

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亚纳基·斯托伊洛夫

$1,409 交易量

5%

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罗森·普列夫内利耶夫

$752 交易量

5%

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阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫

$640 交易量

4%

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布拉戈米尔·科切夫

$1,763 交易量

4%

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瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫

$813 交易量

3%

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克鲁姆·扎尔科夫

$695 交易量

1%

Market icon

科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫

$925 交易量

1%

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德利扬·佩夫斯基

$733 交易量

1%

Market icon

娜塔莉娅·基塞洛娃

$705 交易量

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation to contest April 19 snap parliamentary elections, providing visibility amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, supported by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's steady parliamentary polling around 11-12% in recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys, signaling reformist appeal. GERB's Boyko Borissov (10.9%) and former PM Rosen Zhelyazkov (10.5%) benefit from established party infrastructure despite fragmented polls favoring Progressive Bulgaria. No recent presidential surveys exist; upcoming parliamentary results could reshape the field before the two-round direct vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$60,047
结束日期
2026-11-30
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her incumbency since Rumen Radev's January resignation to contest April 19 snap parliamentary elections, providing visibility amid the country's eighth vote in five years of instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, supported by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's steady parliamentary polling around 11-12% in recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys, signaling reformist appeal. GERB's Boyko Borissov (10.9%) and former PM Rosen Zhelyazkov (10.5%) benefit from established party infrastructure despite fragmented polls favoring Progressive Bulgaria. No recent presidential surveys exist; upcoming parliamentary results could reshape the field before the two-round direct vote.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$60,047
结束日期
2026-11-30
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"保加利亚总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"伊莉安娜·约托娃"，概率为 42%，其次是"尼科莱·登科夫"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"保加利亚总统选举"已产生 $60K 的总交易量（自Jan 19, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"保加利亚总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"保加利亚总统选举"的当前领先者是"伊莉安娜·约托娃"，概率为 42%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"尼科莱·登科夫"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"保加利亚总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。