CDU holds a steady polling lead of 22-23% in recent Sonntagsfragen for the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for plurality amid fragmented opposition, as shown in the latest Civey survey (March 30) with AfD, Linke, and SPD clustered at 16% and Grüne at 15%. Trader consensus reflects this stability over the past month, with no challenger closing the gap despite minor BSW gains, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition and national momentum under Chancellor Merz following recent state wins. The closely contested second place underscores coalition negotiation uncertainties post-election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于基民盟 54%
格林党 14.4%
德国选择党 12.8%
林克党 10%
$2,549,100 交易量
$2,549,100 交易量
2026-09-20
基民盟
54%
格林党
14%
德国选择党
13%
林克党
10%
社民党
10%
BSW
1%
FW
1%
自民党
<1%
基民盟 54%
格林党 14.4%
德国选择党 12.8%
林克党 10%
$2,549,100 交易量
$2,549,100 交易量
2026-09-20
基民盟
$11,675 交易量
54%
格林党
$24,046 交易量
14%
德国选择党
$2,182,004 交易量
13%
林克党
$9,363 交易量
10%
社民党
$286,176 交易量
10%
BSW
$19,634 交易量
1%
FW
$6,668 交易量
1%
自民党
$9,534 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
CDU holds a steady polling lead of 22-23% in recent Sonntagsfragen for the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for plurality amid fragmented opposition, as shown in the latest Civey survey (March 30) with AfD, Linke, and SPD clustered at 16% and Grüne at 15%. Trader consensus reflects this stability over the past month, with no challenger closing the gap despite minor BSW gains, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition and national momentum under Chancellor Merz following recent state wins. The closely contested second place underscores coalition negotiation uncertainties post-election.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$2,549,100结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
CDU holds a steady polling lead of 22-23% in recent Sonntagsfragen for the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for plurality amid fragmented opposition, as shown in the latest Civey survey (March 30) with AfD, Linke, and SPD clustered at 16% and Grüne at 15%. Trader consensus reflects this stability over the past month, with no challenger closing the gap despite minor BSW gains, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition and national momentum under Chancellor Merz following recent state wins. The closely contested second place underscores coalition negotiation uncertainties post-election.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$2,549,100结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...CDU holds a steady polling lead of 22-23% in recent Sonntagsfragen for the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for plurality amid fragmented opposition, as shown in the latest Civey survey (March 30) with AfD, Linke, and SPD clustered at 16% and Grüne at 15%. Trader consensus reflects this stability over the past month, with no challenger closing the gap despite minor BSW gains, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD coalition and national momentum under Chancellor Merz following recent state wins. The closely contested second place underscores coalition negotiation uncertainties post-election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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