Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead of around 22%—five points ahead of rivals like AfD, SPD, Greens, and The Left clustered at 15-17%—in a fragmented proportional representation system requiring coalitions. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition, formed after the 2023 repeat election where CDU took 28%, benefits from stability amid opposition disarray, with recent national CDU gains in Baden-Württemberg's March 8 Landtagswahl underscoring momentum under federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No major Berlin-specific developments in the past 30 days have shifted polls, though FDP edged up slightly while The Left declined; upcoming campaign dynamics and turnout in this urban electorate could influence the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于基民盟 53%
格林党 11.8%
林克党 11%
社民党 10.1%
$2,533,439 交易量
$2,533,439 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
53%
格林党
12%
林克党
11%
社民党
10%
德国选择党
7%
BSW
1%
自民党
<1%
FW
<1%
基民盟 53%
格林党 11.8%
林克党 11%
社民党 10.1%
$2,533,439 交易量
$2,533,439 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
$9,294 交易量
53%
格林党
$23,189 交易量
12%
林克党
$8,381 交易量
11%
社民党
$285,211 交易量
10%
德国选择党
$2,176,450 交易量
7%
BSW
$16,924 交易量
1%
自民党
$8,832 交易量
<1%
FW
$5,157 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead of around 22%—five points ahead of rivals like AfD, SPD, Greens, and The Left clustered at 15-17%—in a fragmented proportional representation system requiring coalitions. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition, formed after the 2023 repeat election where CDU took 28%, benefits from stability amid opposition disarray, with recent national CDU gains in Baden-Württemberg's March 8 Landtagswahl underscoring momentum under federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No major Berlin-specific developments in the past 30 days have shifted polls, though FDP edged up slightly while The Left declined; upcoming campaign dynamics and turnout in this urban electorate could influence the race.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$2,533,439结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead of around 22%—five points ahead of rivals like AfD, SPD, Greens, and The Left clustered at 15-17%—in a fragmented proportional representation system requiring coalitions. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition, formed after the 2023 repeat election where CDU took 28%, benefits from stability amid opposition disarray, with recent national CDU gains in Baden-Württemberg's March 8 Landtagswahl underscoring momentum under federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No major Berlin-specific developments in the past 30 days have shifted polls, though FDP edged up slightly while The Left declined; upcoming campaign dynamics and turnout in this urban electorate could influence the race.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$2,533,439结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead of around 22%—five points ahead of rivals like AfD, SPD, Greens, and The Left clustered at 15-17%—in a fragmented proportional representation system requiring coalitions. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition, formed after the 2023 repeat election where CDU took 28%, benefits from stability amid opposition disarray, with recent national CDU gains in Baden-Württemberg's March 8 Landtagswahl underscoring momentum under federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No major Berlin-specific developments in the past 30 days have shifted polls, though FDP edged up slightly while The Left declined; upcoming campaign dynamics and turnout in this urban electorate could influence the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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