Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

36%

December 31

$6M 交易量

$76.6K today

$361K Liq.

887

Ends 9 個月內

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

24%

Leadership Change

$32.9K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

22%

Hamas / Hezbollah

$34.8K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 23 小時內

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

82%

Disgusting

$48.2K 交易量

$22.6K Liq.

15

Ends 26 天內

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

91%

Netanyahu

$4.1K 交易量

$23.0K Liq.

1

Ends 26 天內

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$773K 交易量

$86.3K Liq.

62

Ends 26 天內

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

47%

10-14

$19.2K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

27%

May 31

$844K 交易量

$44.8K Liq.

123

Ends 26 天內

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

37%

December 31

$514K 交易量

$69.4K Liq.

29

Ends 9 個月內

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$411K 交易量

$25.7K Liq.

20

Ends 4 天前

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$130K 交易量

$69.8K today

$283K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

14%

$26M 交易量

$437K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends 3 個月內

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

21%

April 30

$53.8K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

18

Ends 26 天內

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

4%

$19M 交易量

$542K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends 26 天內

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

61%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M 交易量

$341K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113M 交易量

$276K today

$19M Liq.

33

Ends 9 個月內

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

27%

$13M 交易量

$117K today

$433K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

69%

June 30

$12M 交易量

$495K today

$546K Liq.

224

Ends 3 個月內

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

73%

Not revealed in 2026

$10.9K 交易量

$33.4K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

31%

June 30

$12M 交易量

$542K today

$353K Liq.

235

Ends 3 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 哈梅內伊出局.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for 哈梅內伊出局 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leadership change by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $207.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 哈梅內伊出局 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.