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地緣政治·至尊領袖

特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？

Market icon
地緣政治·至尊領袖

特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？

$286,443 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$286,443 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$28,469 交易量

2%

6月30日

$11,245 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly named successor amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian leadership and infrastructure, prompting President Trump's public rejection of the appointment as "unacceptable" and a "lightweight." Trump has questioned Mojtaba's survival—citing U.S. intelligence suggesting he may be injured, deceased, or even gay—while claiming a de facto regime change and confirming indirect diplomatic talks with Tehran representatives, though no direct communication with Mojtaba has been verified. Ongoing U.S. military escalation, with Trump vowing continued attacks despite depleting high-value targets, underscores low prospects for personal engagement, as trader consensus reflects entrenched hostilities barring bilateral diplomacy absent major de-escalation signals or leadership shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$286,443
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly named successor amid U.S. and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian leadership and infrastructure, prompting President Trump's public rejection of the appointment as "unacceptable" and a "lightweight." Trump has questioned Mojtaba's survival—citing U.S. intelligence suggesting he may be injured, deceased, or even gay—while claiming a de facto regime change and confirming indirect diplomatic talks with Tehran representatives, though no direct communication with Mojtaba has been verified. Ongoing U.S. military escalation, with Trump vowing continued attacks despite depleting high-value targets, underscores low prospects for personal engagement, as trader consensus reflects entrenched hostilities barring bilateral diplomacy absent major de-escalation signals or leadership shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$286,443
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 7%, followed by "4月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？" has generated $286.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？" is "6月30日" at just 7%, with "4月30日" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在...前與Mojtaba Khamenei交談嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.