US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria resumed in Paris in January 2026, producing a joint communication mechanism for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation under American supervision. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have repeatedly called for a comprehensive accord restoring the 1974 disengagement framework, Israeli withdrawal from areas seized after the Assad regime’s collapse, and limits on foreign proxies. Israel seeks demilitarized zones, guarantees against Iranian or militant entrenchment, and safeguards for border stability, including Druze communities. Progress has been incremental amid US diplomatic pressure, but no final agreement has been reached by mid-2026, with Israeli forces maintaining security positions in southern Syria and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasizing ongoing presence. Key variables include further bilateral meetings, US facilitation, and Damascus’s ability to enforce any terms domestically.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$8,495,581 交易量
2026-01-31
6月30日
3%
$8,495,581 交易量
6月30日
$7,912,880 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria resumed in Paris in January 2026, producing a joint communication mechanism for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation under American supervision. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have repeatedly called for a comprehensive accord restoring the 1974 disengagement framework, Israeli withdrawal from areas seized after the Assad regime’s collapse, and limits on foreign proxies. Israel seeks demilitarized zones, guarantees against Iranian or militant entrenchment, and safeguards for border stability, including Druze communities. Progress has been incremental amid US diplomatic pressure, but no final agreement has been reached by mid-2026, with Israeli forces maintaining security positions in southern Syria and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasizing ongoing presence. Key variables include further bilateral meetings, US facilitation, and Damascus’s ability to enforce any terms domestically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
市場開放時間： Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$8,495,581結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria resumed in Paris in January 2026, producing a joint communication mechanism for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation under American supervision. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have repeatedly called for a comprehensive accord restoring the 1974 disengagement framework, Israeli withdrawal from areas seized after the Assad regime’s collapse, and limits on foreign proxies. Israel seeks demilitarized zones, guarantees against Iranian or militant entrenchment, and safeguards for border stability, including Druze communities. Progress has been incremental amid US diplomatic pressure, but no final agreement has been reached by mid-2026, with Israeli forces maintaining security positions in southern Syria and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasizing ongoing presence. Key variables include further bilateral meetings, US facilitation, and Damascus’s ability to enforce any terms domestically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
交易量
$8,495,581結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria resumed in Paris in January 2026, producing a joint communication mechanism for intelligence sharing and military de-escalation under American supervision. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have repeatedly called for a comprehensive accord restoring the 1974 disengagement framework, Israeli withdrawal from areas seized after the Assad regime’s collapse, and limits on foreign proxies. Israel seeks demilitarized zones, guarantees against Iranian or militant entrenchment, and safeguards for border stability, including Druze communities. Progress has been incremental amid US diplomatic pressure, but no final agreement has been reached by mid-2026, with Israeli forces maintaining security positions in southern Syria and statements from Prime Minister Netanyahu emphasizing ongoing presence. Key variables include further bilateral meetings, US facilitation, and Damascus’s ability to enforce any terms domestically.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions