US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

69%

December 31

$87M 交易量

$4M today

$2M Liq.

1,429

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

100%

Mohammed bin Salman

$6M 交易量

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Ends 4 天前

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

99%

Mark Rutte

$58.2K 交易量

$136K Liq.

Ends 26 天內

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

14%

$108K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

40%

$84.4K 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

46%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$109K 交易量

$50.5K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

43%

June 30

$437K 交易量

$51.1K Liq.

7

Ends 3 個月內

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

30%

Leadership Change

$31.8K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

$59.2K 交易量

$30.5K Liq.

4

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

12%

$1M

$18.6K 交易量

$9.9K Liq.

24

Ends 9 個月內

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

19%

$7.5K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

20%

December 31

$766K 交易量

$19.2K Liq.

12

Ends 9 個月內

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

26%

$5.1K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$286K 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

7

Ends 26 天內

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

40%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

11

Ends 9 個月內

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

8%

April 30

$591K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

Ends 4 天前

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

71%

$10.5K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

70%

>$400M

$263K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

4

Ends 9 個月內

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$106K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

8

Ends 9 個月內

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

7%

$213K 交易量

$30.1K Liq.

62

Ends 3 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 溝通.

Polymarket currently hosts 135 active markets for 溝通 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $96.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 溝通 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.