Trader consensus heavily favors no revelation of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the DOJ's ongoing redaction of the February 3, 2016, document despite Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call for unredaction after viewing it. The email, sent post-Iowa caucus, brags of outperforming Jeb Bush—aligning with Marco Rubio's 23% finish versus Bush's 2.8%, boosting his 19.8% odds amid stylistic analysis and scuba references tying to Florida trips. Gwendolyn Beck trails at 8.5% on fringe theories linking her to Epstein photos and minor 2014 races, while Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, and Donald Trump linger low due to weaker Iowa fits or denials. No updates since late March have shifted probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Not revealed in 2026 75%
Marco Rubio 19.7%
Gwendolyn Beck 9%
Rand Paul 2.5%
$10,917 交易量
$10,917 交易量

Not revealed in 2026
75%

Marco Rubio
20%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Rand Paul
2%

Ted Cruz
1%

Ben Carson
<1%

Donald Trump
<1%
Not revealed in 2026 75%
Marco Rubio 19.7%
Gwendolyn Beck 9%
Rand Paul 2.5%
$10,917 交易量
$10,917 交易量

Not revealed in 2026
75%

Marco Rubio
20%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Rand Paul
2%

Ted Cruz
1%

Ben Carson
<1%

Donald Trump
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no revelation of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the DOJ's ongoing redaction of the February 3, 2016, document despite Rep. Ro Khanna's February 12 call for unredaction after viewing it. The email, sent post-Iowa caucus, brags of outperforming Jeb Bush—aligning with Marco Rubio's 23% finish versus Bush's 2.8%, boosting his 19.8% odds amid stylistic analysis and scuba references tying to Florida trips. Gwendolyn Beck trails at 8.5% on fringe theories linking her to Epstein photos and minor 2014 races, while Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, and Donald Trump linger low due to weaker Iowa fits or denials. No updates since late March have shifted probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions