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Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Market icon

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$900,080 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$900,080 交易量

This market refers to the shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion Tesla pay package scheduled for November 6, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla shareholders approve a compensation plan for Elon Musk that is substantially the same as the proposed $1 trillion plan, meaning a performance-based pay structure of comparable scale and scope, designed to grant equity awards worth roughly $1 trillion at full vesting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Minor amendments to the compensation plan that change its total potential value or structure by less than 10% will count. Changes exceeding this threshold will not. If the meeting is rescheduled, this market will remain open until the decision is announced. If the meeting is rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, permanently canceled, or the decision is otherwise not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla’s investor relations and SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market refers to the shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s proposed $1 trillion Tesla pay package scheduled for November 6, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla shareholders approve a compensation plan for Elon Musk that is substantially the same as the proposed $1 trillion plan, meaning a performance-based pay structure of comparable scale and scope, designed to grant equity awards worth roughly $1 trillion at full vesting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. Minor amendments to the compensation plan that change its total potential value or structure by less than 10% will count. Changes exceeding this threshold will not. If the meeting is rescheduled, this market will remain open until the decision is announced. If the meeting is rescheduled beyond December 31, 2025, permanently canceled, or the decision is otherwise not published by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla’s investor relations and SEC filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?" has generated $900.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.