Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 75.5%, driven by stalled trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia peace talks amid Russia's spring offensive launched last week and distractions from escalating Middle East conflicts, including Iranian strikes that postponed planned Abu Dhabi sessions. Zelenskyy affirmed readiness for a leaders' summit on March 27, proposing neutral venues like Turkey, Switzerland, or Europe, but logistical hurdles—U.S. security concerns and Russian territorial demands—persist, echoing unresolved issues from February Geneva and Abu Dhabi rounds. Lower odds on Turkey (2.8%) and Qatar/UAE (2.4%) reflect their prior mediation roles in grain deals and trilateral talks, while Hungary and Saudi gain slight traction from Orban's diplomacy and Zelenskyy's recent Riyadh defense pact, though core barriers like security guarantees and occupied lands keep direct talks improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2027年前不會會面 76%
土耳其 2.8%
卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋 2.4%
美國 2.1%
$1,368,314 交易量
$1,368,314 交易量

2027年前不會會面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋
2%

美國
2%

匈牙利
2%

沙烏地阿拉伯
2%

俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
1%

意大利/梵蒂岡
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

中國
1%

印度
1%

烏克蘭
1%

哈薩克斯坦
1%
2027年前不會會面 76%
土耳其 2.8%
卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋 2.4%
美國 2.1%
$1,368,314 交易量
$1,368,314 交易量

2027年前不會會面
76%

土耳其
3%

卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋
2%

美國
2%

匈牙利
2%

沙烏地阿拉伯
2%

俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
1%

意大利/梵蒂岡
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

中國
1%

印度
1%

烏克蘭
1%

哈薩克斯坦
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 75.5%, driven by stalled trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia peace talks amid Russia's spring offensive launched last week and distractions from escalating Middle East conflicts, including Iranian strikes that postponed planned Abu Dhabi sessions. Zelenskyy affirmed readiness for a leaders' summit on March 27, proposing neutral venues like Turkey, Switzerland, or Europe, but logistical hurdles—U.S. security concerns and Russian territorial demands—persist, echoing unresolved issues from February Geneva and Abu Dhabi rounds. Lower odds on Turkey (2.8%) and Qatar/UAE (2.4%) reflect their prior mediation roles in grain deals and trilateral talks, while Hungary and Saudi gain slight traction from Orban's diplomacy and Zelenskyy's recent Riyadh defense pact, though core barriers like security guarantees and occupied lands keep direct talks improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions