President Trump's recent rhetoric on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Truth Social warnings against disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami touting U.S.-Israeli military actions, drives trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo." A 10-day pause in strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 overlaps the market window of March 29 to April 5, sustaining diplomatic-military focus despite no confirmed public events beyond likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time. Traders price competitive probabilities below 20% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in Trump's exact phrasing amid his pattern of repetitive foreign policy emphasis.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$470,164 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
16%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
9%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
27%
Khamenei
9%
Chuck Norris
2%
$470,164 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,223 交易量
16%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,240 交易量
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,485 交易量
7%
Ethanol
$10,887 交易量
9%
Embargo
$8,426 交易量
14%
Finish the Job
$3,548 交易量
27%
Khamenei
$52,517 交易量
9%
Chuck Norris
$7,296 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent rhetoric on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Truth Social warnings against disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami touting U.S.-Israeli military actions, drives trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo." A 10-day pause in strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 overlaps the market window of March 29 to April 5, sustaining diplomatic-military focus despite no confirmed public events beyond likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time. Traders price competitive probabilities below 20% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in Trump's exact phrasing amid his pattern of repetitive foreign policy emphasis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$470,164結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent rhetoric on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Truth Social warnings against disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami touting U.S.-Israeli military actions, drives trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo." A 10-day pause in strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 overlaps the market window of March 29 to April 5, sustaining diplomatic-military focus despite no confirmed public events beyond likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time. Traders price competitive probabilities below 20% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in Trump's exact phrasing amid his pattern of repetitive foreign policy emphasis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$470,164結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent rhetoric on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including Truth Social warnings against disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami touting U.S.-Israeli military actions, drives trader consensus toward Iran-focused phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "embargo." A 10-day pause in strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 overlaps the market window of March 29 to April 5, sustaining diplomatic-military focus despite no confirmed public events beyond likely press gaggles during Mar-a-Lago travel and executive time. Traders price competitive probabilities below 20% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in Trump's exact phrasing amid his pattern of repetitive foreign policy emphasis.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions