Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

Market icon

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

$3,412,380 交易量

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 交易量

Polymarket

America / American 50+ times

$253,722 交易量

Yes

America / American 25+ times

$344,560 交易量

Yes

Job 20+ times

$118,366 交易量

No

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$159,242 交易量

Yes

Biden 10+ times

$325,541 交易量

No

Border 7+ times

$50,581 交易量

Yes

Oil / Gas 3+ times

$34,362 交易量

Yes

AI / Artificial Intelligence 2+ times

$74,982 交易量

Yes

Kamala / Harris

$47,442 交易量

No

Hottest

$84,491 交易量

Yes

Kennedy / Autism

$21,892 交易量

No

Middle East

$40,063 交易量

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$330,713 交易量

No

Israel / Gaza

$51,940 交易量

Yes

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$37,961 交易量

No

Black / Hispanic

$25,997 交易量

No

Gold Card / Trump Card

$43,826 交易量

No

The State of the Union is strong

$498,637 交易量

No

Epstein

$123,792 交易量

No

Mr. Speaker

$38,384 交易量

No

Egg

$46,373 交易量

Yes

Scam / Hoax

$11,638 交易量

Yes

Coal

$27,237 交易量

No

Six Seven

$93,163 交易量

No

No No No

$22,623 交易量

Yes

Nobel / Peace Prize

$54,134 交易量

Yes

Too Late

$25,881 交易量

No

Peanut

$16,638 交易量

No

Cookie

$10,686 交易量

No

IQ

$23,990 交易量

No

Steroid

$8,987 交易量

No

Alien

$68,903 交易量

Yes

Fentanyl / Cocaine

$7,317 交易量

Yes

Olympic / Olympics

$36,044 交易量

Yes

Supreme Court

$11,027 交易量

Yes

Nuclear

$19,312 交易量

Yes

Drill Baby Drill

$17,304 交易量

Yes

Eli Lilly

$5,746 交易量

No

Autopen / Auto Pen

$10,211 交易量

No

UFC

$19,812 交易量

No

Fake News

$27,451 交易量

No

Hockey

$104,456 交易量

Yes

Miracle

$31,395 交易量

Yes

Capital of the World

$5,559 交易量

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American 50+ times" at 100%, followed by "America / American 25+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?" is "America / American 50+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "America / American 25+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.