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政治·熱門市場

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Market icon
政治·熱門市場

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,034,049 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$3,034,049 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Elon Musk for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Elon Musk for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.