Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from March 25, 2026, indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus with regulators this week or next, targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion amid robust Starlink growth—9.2 million subscribers and over $10 billion in 2025 revenue—coupled with Starship reusability milestones and Mars mission funding needs. Lower buckets like $2.0–2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on post-filing valuation pops, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 2.6% given Elon Musk's confirmation of 2026 plans. Watch for SEC S-1 filing and June listing catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1.875T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.0%
$1,322,646 交易量
$1,322,646 交易量
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5兆+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.0%
$1,322,646 交易量
$1,322,646 交易量
<1.0T
$11,018 交易量
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,386 交易量
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,554 交易量
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,181 交易量
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$620,514 交易量
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$430,907 交易量
3%
3.5兆+
$10,026 交易量
3%
No IPO before 2028
$224,061 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from March 25, 2026, indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus with regulators this week or next, targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion amid robust Starlink growth—9.2 million subscribers and over $10 billion in 2025 revenue—coupled with Starship reusability milestones and Mars mission funding needs. Lower buckets like $2.0–2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on post-filing valuation pops, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 2.6% given Elon Musk's confirmation of 2026 plans. Watch for SEC S-1 filing and June listing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,322,646市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from March 25, 2026, indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus with regulators this week or next, targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion amid robust Starlink growth—9.2 million subscribers and over $10 billion in 2025 revenue—coupled with Starship reusability milestones and Mars mission funding needs. Lower buckets like $2.0–2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on post-filing valuation pops, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 2.6% given Elon Musk's confirmation of 2026 plans. Watch for SEC S-1 filing and June listing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,322,646市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5–2.0 trillion (51.5% implied probability), propelled by reports from March 25, 2026, indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus with regulators this week or next, targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. This surge in sentiment follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing SpaceX at $800 billion amid robust Starlink growth—9.2 million subscribers and over $10 billion in 2025 revenue—coupled with Starship reusability milestones and Mars mission funding needs. Lower buckets like $2.0–2.5 trillion (24%) reflect optimism on post-filing valuation pops, while "No IPO before 2028" languishes at 2.6% given Elon Musk's confirmation of 2026 plans. Watch for SEC S-1 filing and June listing catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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