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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.2%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.8%

Polymarket

$468,022,412 交易量

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.2%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.8%

Polymarket

$468,022,412 交易量

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JD Vance

$9,070,989 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$6,664,991 交易量

17%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,258,552 交易量

11%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,348,242 交易量

6%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$2,902,477 交易量

4%

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塔克·卡爾森

$9,199,735 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,432,768 交易量

3%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,297,809 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,392,315 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,440,000 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,744,388 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$9,371,543 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,553,729 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,713,192 交易量

1%

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安迪·貝希爾

$14,891,950 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$3,948,314 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$7,020,906 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,169,209 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$21,626,555 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,511,336 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,298,302 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,501,609 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,317,200 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$5,498,071 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,238,434 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$20,866,507 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$27,059,949 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,320,585 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$19,664,480 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,102,690 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,789,816 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,189,978 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$4,869,839 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$28,816,281 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$42,301,134 交易量

<1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,637,391 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance's victory in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, where he outpaced Secretary of State Marco Rubio among conservative activists, has solidified trader consensus positioning him as the narrow GOP frontrunner at 17.8%, reflecting his incumbency edge and alignment with President Trump's base amid ongoing foreign policy challenges like the Iran conflict. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.2%, buoyed by his commanding lead in a mid-March California Democratic primary poll over Kamala Harris, positioning him as the leading Democratic contender despite fluctuating national surveys favoring Pete Buttigieg in some battlegrounds. With primaries still over 18 months away and 2026 midterms looming as a key test of party momentum, the market's tight clustering underscores high uncertainty, where endorsements, midterm outcomes, or scandals could sharply separate frontrunners in this open-field race shaped by Trump's term limits.

Vice President JD Vance's victory in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, where he outpaced Secretary of State Marco Rubio among conservative activists, has solidified trader consensus positioning him as the narrow GOP frontrunner at 17.8%, reflecting his incumbency edge and alignment with President Trump's base amid ongoing foreign policy challenges like the Iran conflict. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.2%, buoyed by his commanding lead in a mid-March California Democratic primary poll over Kamala Harris, positioning him as the leading Democratic contender despite fluctuating national surveys favoring Pete Buttigieg in some battlegrounds. With primaries still over 18 months away and 2026 midterms looming as a key test of party momentum, the market's tight clustering underscores high uncertainty, where endorsements, midterm outcomes, or scandals could sharply separate frontrunners in this open-field race shaped by Trump's term limits.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance's victory in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, where he outpaced Secretary of State Marco Rubio among conservative activists, has solidified trader consensus positioning him as the narrow GOP frontrunner at 17.8%, reflecting his incumbency edge and alignment with President Trump's base amid ongoing foreign policy challenges like the Iran conflict. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.2%, buoyed by his commanding lead in a mid-March California Democratic primary poll over Kamala Harris, positioning him as the leading Democratic contender despite fluctuating national surveys favoring Pete Buttigieg in some battlegrounds. With primaries still over 18 months away and 2026 midterms looming as a key test of party momentum, the market's tight clustering underscores high uncertainty, where endorsements, midterm outcomes, or scandals could sharply separate frontrunners in this open-field race shaped by Trump's term limits.

Vice President JD Vance's victory in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, where he outpaced Secretary of State Marco Rubio among conservative activists, has solidified trader consensus positioning him as the narrow GOP frontrunner at 17.8%, reflecting his incumbency edge and alignment with President Trump's base amid ongoing foreign policy challenges like the Iran conflict. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.2%, buoyed by his commanding lead in a mid-March California Democratic primary poll over Kamala Harris, positioning him as the leading Democratic contender despite fluctuating national surveys favoring Pete Buttigieg in some battlegrounds. With primaries still over 18 months away and 2026 midterms looming as a key test of party momentum, the market's tight clustering underscores high uncertainty, where endorsements, midterm outcomes, or scandals could sharply separate frontrunners in this open-field race shaped by Trump's term limits.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $468 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.