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瑞典議會選舉贏家

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瑞典議會選舉贏家

瑞典社會民主工人黨(S) 89%

溫和黨(M) 5.6%

瑞典民主黨(SD) 4.7%

綠黨(MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 交易量

瑞典社會民主工人黨(S) 89%

溫和黨(M) 5.6%

瑞典民主黨(SD) 4.7%

綠黨(MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 交易量

瑞典社會民主工人黨(S)會在2026年瑞典議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

瑞典社會民主工人黨(S)

$32,092 交易量

89%

溫和黨(M)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

溫和黨(M)

$377,327 交易量

6%

瑞典民主黨(SD)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席次嗎? icon

瑞典民主黨(SD)

$509,486 交易量

5%

綠黨(MP)會在2026年瑞典議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

綠黨(MP)

$93,267 交易量

1%

左翼黨(V)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

左翼黨(V)

$14,933 交易量

<1%

公民聯盟(MED)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

公民聯盟(MED)

$13,476 交易量

<1%

中間黨(C)會在2026年瑞典議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

中間黨(C)

$16,497 交易量

<1%

基督教民主黨(KD)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

基督教民主黨(KD)

$14,419 交易量

<1%

自由黨(L)會在2026年瑞典國會選舉中贏得最多席次嗎? icon

自由黨(L)

$14,567 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, reflecting its sustained double-digit lead in recent polls at 32-33%—well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, per Kantar-Sifo (April 11), Verian (April 5), and Indikator (April 1). This positioning stems from the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc's erosion, highlighted by Liberal Party turmoil after its March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD triggered resignations and a narrow leadership survival for Simona Mohamsson on March 22, fragmenting potential coalitions. Seat projections grant S ~120 mandates versus SD's 75 and M's 64, though centre-left (S+V+C+MP) and right blocs hover near parity; economic pressures and immigration debates sustain S momentum amid stable polling trends over the past 30 days. Late scandals or shifts could narrow the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,086,063
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) to secure the most seats in Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, reflecting its sustained double-digit lead in recent polls at 32-33%—well ahead of Sweden Democrats (SD) at around 20% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%, per Kantar-Sifo (April 11), Verian (April 5), and Indikator (April 1). This positioning stems from the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc's erosion, highlighted by Liberal Party turmoil after its March 13 "Sweden Promise" pact with SD triggered resignations and a narrow leadership survival for Simona Mohamsson on March 22, fragmenting potential coalitions. Seat projections grant S ~120 mandates versus SD's 75 and M's 64, though centre-left (S+V+C+MP) and right blocs hover near parity; economic pressures and immigration debates sustain S momentum amid stable polling trends over the past 30 days. Late scandals or shifts could narrow the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,086,063
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"瑞典議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑞典社會民主工人黨(S)" at 89%, followed by "溫和黨(M)" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "瑞典議會選舉贏家" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "瑞典議會選舉贏家," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "瑞典議會選舉贏家" is "瑞典社會民主工人黨(S)" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "溫和黨(M)" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "瑞典議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.