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選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.8%

Polymarket

$467,371,695 交易量

JD Vance 17.8%

加文·紐森 17.1%

馬可·魯比歐 10.5%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.8%

Polymarket

$467,371,695 交易量

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JD Vance

$9,063,389 交易量

18%

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加文·紐森

$6,655,828 交易量

17%

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馬可·魯比歐

$5,255,243 交易量

11%

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亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,342,392 交易量

6%

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喬恩·奧索夫

$2,895,070 交易量

3%

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塔克·卡爾森

$9,168,559 交易量

3%

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卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,423,026 交易量

3%

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喬希·夏皮羅

$5,296,430 交易量

2%

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唐納德·川普

$6,388,277 交易量

2%

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皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,436,917 交易量

2%

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JB Pritzker

$9,219,087 交易量

2%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,741,105 交易量

2%

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德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,547,291 交易量

1%

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詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,707,166 交易量

1%

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安迪·貝希爾

$14,877,737 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·川普

$3,945,418 交易量

1%

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傑米·戴蒙

$7,015,925 交易量

1%

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埃隆·馬斯克

$21,618,092 交易量

1%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$7,474,567 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,284,685 交易量

1%

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米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,162,568 交易量

1%

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韋斯·摩爾

$5,490,266 交易量

1%

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唐納德·川普二世

$8,314,145 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$20,855,075 交易量

1%

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羅·卡納

$5,467,921 交易量

1%

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托馬斯·馬西

$3,236,050 交易量

1%

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圖西·加巴德

$27,058,322 交易量

1%

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提姆·沃茲

$38,300,825 交易量

1%

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格倫·揚金

$19,655,139 交易量

1%

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史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,087,491 交易量

1%

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祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,179,906 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$28,786,139 交易量

1%

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埃里克·川普

$4,844,791 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$28,722,957 交易量

1%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$42,230,414 交易量

1%

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彼特·赫格塞斯

$1,625,729 交易量

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance edges California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus favorites at 17.8% and 17.2% implied probabilities in Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market—over $455 million traded—amid an open primary on both sides after President Trump's constitutional term limit. Vance's odds have plunged to all-time lows in recent days, driven by reports of his indecision on a bid amid Middle East tensions including Iran and perceived GOP vulnerabilities from administration actions. Newsom holds steady as the leading Democratic contender, signaling post-2026 midterm interest, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.5% gains from high-profile diplomacy like Munich talks. The 2026 midterms, party endorsements, polling shifts, and foreign policy resolutions could create separation in this uncertain early race.

Vice President JD Vance edges California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus favorites at 17.8% and 17.2% implied probabilities in Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market—over $455 million traded—amid an open primary on both sides after President Trump's constitutional term limit. Vance's odds have plunged to all-time lows in recent days, driven by reports of his indecision on a bid amid Middle East tensions including Iran and perceived GOP vulnerabilities from administration actions. Newsom holds steady as the leading Democratic contender, signaling post-2026 midterm interest, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.5% gains from high-profile diplomacy like Munich talks. The 2026 midterms, party endorsements, polling shifts, and foreign policy resolutions could create separation in this uncertain early race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance edges California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus favorites at 17.8% and 17.2% implied probabilities in Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market—over $455 million traded—amid an open primary on both sides after President Trump's constitutional term limit. Vance's odds have plunged to all-time lows in recent days, driven by reports of his indecision on a bid amid Middle East tensions including Iran and perceived GOP vulnerabilities from administration actions. Newsom holds steady as the leading Democratic contender, signaling post-2026 midterm interest, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.5% gains from high-profile diplomacy like Munich talks. The 2026 midterms, party endorsements, polling shifts, and foreign policy resolutions could create separation in this uncertain early race.

Vice President JD Vance edges California Governor Gavin Newsom as trader consensus favorites at 17.8% and 17.2% implied probabilities in Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market—over $455 million traded—amid an open primary on both sides after President Trump's constitutional term limit. Vance's odds have plunged to all-time lows in recent days, driven by reports of his indecision on a bid amid Middle East tensions including Iran and perceived GOP vulnerabilities from administration actions. Newsom holds steady as the leading Democratic contender, signaling post-2026 midterm interest, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.5% gains from high-profile diplomacy like Munich talks. The 2026 midterms, party endorsements, polling shifts, and foreign policy resolutions could create separation in this uncertain early race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $467.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.