2028年總統選舉贏家

Name: 2028年總統選舉贏家
Start: 2025-07-11T19:11:35.945Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

2028年總統選舉贏家 — 討論

Frosen · 2025-07-11T19:11:35.945Z

關於2028年總統選舉贏家的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

選舉·世界選舉

2028年總統選舉贏家

JD Vance 17.6%

加文·紐森 16.7%

馬可·魯比歐 10.4%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.9%

$474,408,547 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

JD Vance

$9,236,341 交易量

18%

加文·紐森

$6,790,397 交易量

17%

馬可·魯比歐

$5,363,342 交易量

10%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,433,818 交易量

喬恩·奧索夫

$3,037,636 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,555,551 交易量

塔克·卡爾森

$9,405,119 交易量

喬希·夏皮羅

$5,321,882 交易量

唐納德·川普

$6,510,421 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$15,108,529 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,443,124 交易量

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,887,852 交易量

JB Pritzker

$9,541,909 交易量

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,659,734 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,774,949 交易量

伊萬卡·川普

$4,058,415 交易量

傑米·戴蒙

$7,166,928 交易量

格雷琴·惠特默

$7,729,887 交易量

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,329,864 交易量

Greg Abbott

$31,418,408 交易量

埃隆·馬斯克

$22,033,094 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$5,625,185 交易量

唐納德·川普二世

$8,437,874 交易量

妮基·黑利

$21,089,524 交易量

羅·卡納

$5,700,065 交易量

托馬斯·馬西

$3,357,767 交易量

提姆·沃茲

$38,500,383 交易量

格倫·揚金

$19,840,560 交易量

史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,247,234 交易量

圖西·加巴德

$27,205,293 交易量

祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,429,420 交易量

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$29,032,842 交易量

埃里克·川普

$5,179,016 交易量

彼特·赫格塞斯

$2,023,650 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$29,209,930 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$42,734,969 交易量

<1%

JD Vance 17.6%

加文·紐森 16.7%

馬可·魯比歐 10.4%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 5.9%

$474,408,547 交易量

Nov 7, 2028

賺 4% 收益

JD Vance

$9,236,341 交易量

18%

加文·紐森

$6,790,397 交易量

17%

馬可·魯比歐

$5,363,342 交易量

10%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯

$10,433,818 交易量

喬恩·奧索夫

$3,037,636 交易量

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$6,555,551 交易量

塔克·卡爾森

$9,405,119 交易量

喬希·夏皮羅

$5,321,882 交易量

唐納德·川普

$6,510,421 交易量

安迪·貝希爾

$15,108,529 交易量

皮特·布塔朱吉

$3,443,124 交易量

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$5,887,852 交易量

JB Pritzker

$9,541,909 交易量

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森

$5,659,734 交易量

詹姆斯·塔拉里科

$3,774,949 交易量

伊萬卡·川普

$4,058,415 交易量

傑米·戴蒙

$7,166,928 交易量

格雷琴·惠特默

$7,729,887 交易量

米歇爾·奧巴馬

$13,329,864 交易量

Greg Abbott

$31,418,408 交易量

埃隆·馬斯克

$22,033,094 交易量

韋斯·摩爾

$5,625,185 交易量

唐納德·川普二世

$8,437,874 交易量

妮基·黑利

$21,089,524 交易量

羅·卡納

$5,700,065 交易量

托馬斯·馬西

$3,357,767 交易量

提姆·沃茲

$38,500,383 交易量

格倫·揚金

$19,840,560 交易量

史蒂芬·史密斯

$28,247,234 交易量

圖西·加巴德

$27,205,293 交易量

祖蘭·曼達尼

$16,429,420 交易量

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$29,032,842 交易量

埃里克·川普

$5,179,016 交易量

彼特·赫格塞斯

$2,023,650 交易量

金·卡戴珊

$29,209,930 交易量

勒布朗·詹姆斯

$42,734,969 交易量

<1%

Vice President JD Vance leads narrowly in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, buoyed by his recent CPAC straw poll victory and overwhelming Republican preference in early surveys showing him ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio by wide margins, positioning him as the heir apparent in a Trump-aligned GOP. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely as the Democratic frontrunner, strengthened by a March California primary poll lead over Kamala Harris and his national book tour signaling presidential ambitions amid party soul-searching post-2024. The tight race reflects high uncertainty this far out, with 2026 midterms, administration performance on foreign policy like Iran negotiations, and potential announcements poised to create separation in primary paths and Electoral College battlegrounds.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 30, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年總統選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "加文·紐森" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年總統選舉贏家" has generated $474.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年總統選舉贏家" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加文·紐森" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年總統選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2028年總統選舉贏家." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $474.4 million traded on “2028年總統選舉贏家,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" in the "2028年總統選舉贏家" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 18% chance that "JD Vance" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 18¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 82¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2028年總統選舉贏家" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "2028年總統選舉贏家" market has an active community of 805 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2028年總統選舉贏家." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2028年總統選舉贏家

2028年總統選舉贏家

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規則

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評論 (805)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2028年總統選舉贏家" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2028年總統選舉贏家" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "2028年總統選舉贏家"?

What are the current odds for "2028年總統選舉贏家"?

How will "2028年總統選舉贏家" be resolved?

Can I follow "2028年總統選舉贏家" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "2028年總統選舉贏家" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "2028年總統選舉贏家"?

What does a price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" mean?

When does the "2028年總統選舉贏家" market close?

What are traders saying about "2028年總統選舉贏家"?

What is Polymarket?