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馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?

Market icon

馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?

12月 31

12月 31

11% 機率
Polymarket
最新

11% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2027, with "No" implying an 89% probability, driven by his explicit May 2025 commitment at the Qatar Economic Forum to stay in the role for at least five more years—extending well past the market's horizon—absent death or activist intervention. No credible reports of board pressure, succession planning, or departure rumors have emerged in the past year, underscoring his irreplaceable leadership in Tesla's pivot to artificial intelligence and autonomous vehicles, including Full Self-Driving (FSD) advancements and robotaxi development. Tesla's Q1 2026 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles missed estimates amid EV market headwinds, yet Musk's active oversight persists, with the upcoming earnings call likely to highlight AI safety benchmarks and regulatory progress as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$6,004
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk remaining Tesla CEO through 2027, with "No" implying an 89% probability, driven by his explicit May 2025 commitment at the Qatar Economic Forum to stay in the role for at least five more years—extending well past the market's horizon—absent death or activist intervention. No credible reports of board pressure, succession planning, or departure rumors have emerged in the past year, underscoring his irreplaceable leadership in Tesla's pivot to artificial intelligence and autonomous vehicles, including Full Self-Driving (FSD) advancements and robotaxi development. Tesla's Q1 2026 deliveries of 358,000 vehicles missed estimates amid EV market headwinds, yet Musk's active oversight persists, with the upcoming earnings call likely to highlight AI safety benchmarks and regulatory progress as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$6,004
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬斯克會在2027年前卸任特斯拉執行長嗎?" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?" is "馬斯克會在2027年前卸任特斯拉執行長嗎?" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬斯克在2027年之前擔任特斯拉首席執行官?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.