Market icon

Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?

Market icon

Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?

<20 100.0%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$36,903 交易量

<20 100.0%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$36,903 交易量

<20

$17,820 交易量

20-39

$15,013 交易量

40-59

$4,070 交易量

60-79

$0 交易量

80-99

$0 交易量

100-119

$0 交易量

120-139

$0 交易量

140-159

$0 交易量

160-179

$0 交易量

180-199

$0 交易量

200條以上

$0 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 100%, followed by "20-39" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?" has generated $36.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?" is "<20" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-39" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.