Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's weekly Twitter output from @khamenei_ir centers on 20-59 posts, reflecting his consistent historical pace of 4-8 daily updates sharing statements, Quranic verses, and policy messages. The tight split between 20-39 (30.6%) and 40-59 (35.7%) stems from variability in past weeks tied to geopolitical flare-ups, like Iran-Israel exchanges, or domestic holidays—March 20-27, 2026, overlaps Nowruz, potentially curbing activity with greetings rather than volume. Separation could arise from confirmed health updates on the 86-year-old Supreme Leader, escalating regional tensions prompting more posts, or quiet periods amid Iranian parliamentary maneuvering, as traders weigh these against steady baseline patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
Khamenei # posts 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
20-39 30.9%
<20 12%
60-79 5.9%
120-139 5.1%
<20
12%
20-39
31%
40-59
36%
60-79
14%
80-99
4%
100-119
4%
120-139
5%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
2%
200條以上
1%
20-39 30.9%
<20 12%
60-79 5.9%
120-139 5.1%
<20
12%
20-39
31%
40-59
36%
60-79
14%
80-99
4%
100-119
4%
120-139
5%
140-159
2%
160-179
4%
180-199
2%
200條以上
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's weekly Twitter output from @khamenei_ir centers on 20-59 posts, reflecting his consistent historical pace of 4-8 daily updates sharing statements, Quranic verses, and policy messages. The tight split between 20-39 (30.6%) and 40-59 (35.7%) stems from variability in past weeks tied to geopolitical flare-ups, like Iran-Israel exchanges, or domestic holidays—March 20-27, 2026, overlaps Nowruz, potentially curbing activity with greetings rather than volume. Separation could arise from confirmed health updates on the 86-year-old Supreme Leader, escalating regional tensions prompting more posts, or quiet periods amid Iranian parliamentary maneuvering, as traders weigh these against steady baseline patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions