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3月31日的第三大富豪？

Market icon

3月31日的第三大富豪？

傑夫·貝佐斯 51%

謝爾蓋·布林 41%

馬克·祖克柏 2.5%

拉里·佩奇 2.4%

Polymarket

$318,592 交易量

傑夫·貝佐斯 51%

謝爾蓋·布林 41%

馬克·祖克柏 2.5%

拉里·佩奇 2.4%

Polymarket

$318,592 交易量

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傑夫·貝佐斯

$208,651 交易量

51%

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謝爾蓋·布林

$74,126 交易量

41%

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馬克·祖克柏

$2,519 交易量

3%

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拉里·佩奇

$3,206 交易量

2%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$8,164 交易量

1%

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貝爾納·阿爾諾

$3,076 交易量

1%

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黃仁勳

$8,362 交易量

1%

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拉里·埃里森

$3,280 交易量

<1%

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沃倫·巴菲特

$3,608 交易量

<1%

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史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$3,600 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Jeff Bezos a 50.5% implied probability of being the world's third-richest person on March 31, narrowly ahead of Sergey Brin at 40.5%, reflecting their razor-thin current gap on Forbes real-time and Bloomberg Billionaires Index lists—Bezos at $214-232 billion in third, Brin $210-226 billion in fourth. Recent market turbulence drove both Amazon and Alphabet stocks down over 4% on March 27 amid AI spending concerns and broader selloffs, compressing the margin after earlier 2026 flips where Brin briefly overtook Bezos in January on Alphabet's surge to $4 trillion market cap. With trading sessions left on March 28 and 31, volatility in AMZN and GOOG/GOOGL shares holds upset potential, underscoring the skin-in-the-game crowd's view of tech titans' fortunes as highly fluid.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Jeff Bezos a 50.5% implied probability of being the world's third-richest person on March 31, narrowly ahead of Sergey Brin at 40.5%, reflecting their razor-thin current gap on Forbes real-time and Bloomberg Billionaires Index lists—Bezos at $214-232 billion in third, Brin $210-226 billion in fourth. Recent market turbulence drove both Amazon and Alphabet stocks down over 4% on March 27 amid AI spending concerns and broader selloffs, compressing the margin after earlier 2026 flips where Brin briefly overtook Bezos in January on Alphabet's surge to $4 trillion market cap. With trading sessions left on March 28 and 31, volatility in AMZN and GOOG/GOOGL shares holds upset potential, underscoring the skin-in-the-game crowd's view of tech titans' fortunes as highly fluid.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Jeff Bezos a 50.5% implied probability of being the world's third-richest person on March 31, narrowly ahead of Sergey Brin at 40.5%, reflecting their razor-thin current gap on Forbes real-time and Bloomberg Billionaires Index lists—Bezos at $214-232 billion in third, Brin $210-226 billion in fourth. Recent market turbulence drove both Amazon and Alphabet stocks down over 4% on March 27 amid AI spending concerns and broader selloffs, compressing the margin after earlier 2026 flips where Brin briefly overtook Bezos in January on Alphabet's surge to $4 trillion market cap. With trading sessions left on March 28 and 31, volatility in AMZN and GOOG/GOOGL shares holds upset potential, underscoring the skin-in-the-game crowd's view of tech titans' fortunes as highly fluid.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Jeff Bezos a 50.5% implied probability of being the world's third-richest person on March 31, narrowly ahead of Sergey Brin at 40.5%, reflecting their razor-thin current gap on Forbes real-time and Bloomberg Billionaires Index lists—Bezos at $214-232 billion in third, Brin $210-226 billion in fourth. Recent market turbulence drove both Amazon and Alphabet stocks down over 4% on March 27 amid AI spending concerns and broader selloffs, compressing the margin after earlier 2026 flips where Brin briefly overtook Bezos in January on Alphabet's surge to $4 trillion market cap. With trading sessions left on March 28 and 31, volatility in AMZN and GOOG/GOOGL shares holds upset potential, underscoring the skin-in-the-game crowd's view of tech titans' fortunes as highly fluid.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月31日的第三大富豪？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑夫·貝佐斯" at 51%, followed by "謝爾蓋·布林" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月31日的第三大富豪？" has generated $318.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月31日的第三大富豪？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月31日的第三大富豪？" is "傑夫·貝佐斯" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "謝爾蓋·布林" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月31日的第三大富豪？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.