Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's strong R+14 partisan lean and his history of 60%+ general election margins since 2020. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Bentz with $1.4 million cash on hand, dwarfing the six low-funded Democratic primary contenders—Dawn Rasmussen, Chris Beck, and others—who struggled to differentiate at an April 23 Pendleton forum. With May 19 primaries approaching, ratings from Cook Political Report and others label it Solid Republican. Realistic challenges include a Bentz primary upset by challengers Andrea Carr or Peter Larson, post-primary Democratic consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national wave shifting rural turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,303 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$2,491 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's strong R+14 partisan lean and his history of 60%+ general election margins since 2020. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Bentz with $1.4 million cash on hand, dwarfing the six low-funded Democratic primary contenders—Dawn Rasmussen, Chris Beck, and others—who struggled to differentiate at an April 23 Pendleton forum. With May 19 primaries approaching, ratings from Cook Political Report and others label it Solid Republican. Realistic challenges include a Bentz primary upset by challengers Andrea Carr or Peter Larson, post-primary Democratic consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national wave shifting rural turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,795วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's strong R+14 partisan lean and his history of 60%+ general election margins since 2020. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Bentz with $1.4 million cash on hand, dwarfing the six low-funded Democratic primary contenders—Dawn Rasmussen, Chris Beck, and others—who struggled to differentiate at an April 23 Pendleton forum. With May 19 primaries approaching, ratings from Cook Political Report and others label it Solid Republican. Realistic challenges include a Bentz primary upset by challengers Andrea Carr or Peter Larson, post-primary Democratic consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national wave shifting rural turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,795วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District race due to the district's strong R+14 partisan lean and his history of 60%+ general election margins since 2020. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Bentz with $1.4 million cash on hand, dwarfing the six low-funded Democratic primary contenders—Dawn Rasmussen, Chris Beck, and others—who struggled to differentiate at an April 23 Pendleton forum. With May 19 primaries approaching, ratings from Cook Political Report and others label it Solid Republican. Realistic challenges include a Bentz primary upset by challengers Andrea Carr or Peter Larson, post-primary Democratic consolidation behind a strong nominee, or a national wave shifting rural turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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