Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, as shown by Ilhan Omar's reelection margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles and consistent party control since the 1960s. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, with the August 11, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election still months away. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this baseline, reinforced by the incumbent's early endorsements and limited Republican fundraising. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant national midterm shifts favoring Republicans, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate such changes would require sustained, large-scale movement in voter sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$36,461 ปริมาณ
$36,461 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$36,461 ปริมาณ
$36,461 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,719 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$20,742 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, as shown by Ilhan Omar's reelection margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles and consistent party control since the 1960s. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, with the August 11, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election still months away. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this baseline, reinforced by the incumbent's early endorsements and limited Republican fundraising. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant national midterm shifts favoring Republicans, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate such changes would require sustained, large-scale movement in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,461วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, as shown by Ilhan Omar's reelection margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles and consistent party control since the 1960s. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, with the August 11, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election still months away. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this baseline, reinforced by the incumbent's early endorsements and limited Republican fundraising. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant national midterm shifts favoring Republicans, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate such changes would require sustained, large-scale movement in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,461วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, as shown by Ilhan Omar's reelection margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles and consistent party control since the 1960s. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, with the August 11, 2026, primaries and November 3 general election still months away. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with this baseline, reinforced by the incumbent's early endorsements and limited Republican fundraising. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant national midterm shifts favoring Republicans, or an unusually weak Democratic primary outcome could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate such changes would require sustained, large-scale movement in voter sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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