Illinois’s 9th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat on Chicago’s North Shore and northern suburbs following the March 2026 primaries. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened a crowded Democratic field that Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss won with endorsements from key state and federal figures, positioning him as the clear general-election nominee against Republican John Elleson. The district’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and lack of competitive polling have produced a wide gap in trader assessments of the November outcome. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though none of these factors currently register as probable enough to alter the prevailing market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,092 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,499 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 9th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat on Chicago’s North Shore and northern suburbs following the March 2026 primaries. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened a crowded Democratic field that Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss won with endorsements from key state and federal figures, positioning him as the clear general-election nominee against Republican John Elleson. The district’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and lack of competitive polling have produced a wide gap in trader assessments of the November outcome. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though none of these factors currently register as probable enough to alter the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 9th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat on Chicago’s North Shore and northern suburbs following the March 2026 primaries. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened a crowded Democratic field that Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss won with endorsements from key state and federal figures, positioning him as the clear general-election nominee against Republican John Elleson. The district’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and lack of competitive polling have produced a wide gap in trader assessments of the November outcome. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though none of these factors currently register as probable enough to alter the prevailing market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s 9th Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat on Chicago’s North Shore and northern suburbs following the March 2026 primaries. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened a crowded Democratic field that Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss won with endorsements from key state and federal figures, positioning him as the clear general-election nominee against Republican John Elleson. The district’s partisan composition, historical voting patterns, and lack of competitive polling have produced a wide gap in trader assessments of the November outcome. Late developments that could narrow the margin include a national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though none of these factors currently register as probable enough to alter the prevailing market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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