The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 35 points, has solidified trader consensus around the Democratic nominee following the March primary. With incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after decades in the seat, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the nomination in a competitive field, while Republican John Elleson advanced with limited opposition. This open-seat dynamic in a district anchored in Chicago's northern suburbs and Evanston has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control on November 3. Scenarios that could realistically shift probabilities include an unusually strong national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,591 ปริมาณ
$16,591 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,092 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,499 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 35 points, has solidified trader consensus around the Democratic nominee following the March primary. With incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after decades in the seat, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the nomination in a competitive field, while Republican John Elleson advanced with limited opposition. This open-seat dynamic in a district anchored in Chicago's northern suburbs and Evanston has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control on November 3. Scenarios that could realistically shift probabilities include an unusually strong national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 35 points, has solidified trader consensus around the Democratic nominee following the March primary. With incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after decades in the seat, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the nomination in a competitive field, while Republican John Elleson advanced with limited opposition. This open-seat dynamic in a district anchored in Chicago's northern suburbs and Evanston has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control on November 3. Scenarios that could realistically shift probabilities include an unusually strong national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,591วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 35 points, has solidified trader consensus around the Democratic nominee following the March primary. With incumbent Jan Schakowsky retiring after decades in the seat, Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the nomination in a competitive field, while Republican John Elleson advanced with limited opposition. This open-seat dynamic in a district anchored in Chicago's northern suburbs and Evanston has reinforced expectations of continued Democratic control on November 3. Scenarios that could realistically shift probabilities include an unusually strong national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this heavily Democratic area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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