Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's hold on Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean where longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky retired after dominating prior elections by wide margins. Facing Arlington Heights pastor John Elleson, the Republican nominee, Biss benefits from local name recognition, prior state legislative experience, and robust fundraising, while no general election polling has emerged to suggest competitiveness. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects the district's historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages, unchanged by developments in the past month. Realistic challenges include a major Biss scandal, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers keep Republican odds low ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$14,943 ปริมาณ
$14,943 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,943 ปริมาณ
$14,943 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,736 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$5,207 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's hold on Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean where longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky retired after dominating prior elections by wide margins. Facing Arlington Heights pastor John Elleson, the Republican nominee, Biss benefits from local name recognition, prior state legislative experience, and robust fundraising, while no general election polling has emerged to suggest competitiveness. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects the district's historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages, unchanged by developments in the past month. Realistic challenges include a major Biss scandal, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers keep Republican odds low ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,943วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's hold on Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean where longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky retired after dominating prior elections by wide margins. Facing Arlington Heights pastor John Elleson, the Republican nominee, Biss benefits from local name recognition, prior state legislative experience, and robust fundraising, while no general election polling has emerged to suggest competitiveness. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects the district's historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages, unchanged by developments in the past month. Realistic challenges include a major Biss scandal, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers keep Republican odds low ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,943วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary solidified the party's hold on Illinois' 9th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat with a strong Democratic partisan lean where longtime Rep. Jan Schakowsky retired after dominating prior elections by wide margins. Facing Arlington Heights pastor John Elleson, the Republican nominee, Biss benefits from local name recognition, prior state legislative experience, and robust fundraising, while no general election polling has emerged to suggest competitiveness. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects the district's historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages, unchanged by developments in the past month. Realistic challenges include a major Biss scandal, low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers keep Republican odds low ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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