Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride's established position in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large district drives the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The state backed the Democratic presidential ticket by double digits in the prior cycle, and forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries. McBride holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican primary contenders, reflecting historical base rates of easy Democratic retention in this single-member district. Absent major recent catalysts, the pricing aligns with the seat's structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an incumbent scandal, primary upset, health event, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm surge altering local dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,150 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$161 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride's established position in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large district drives the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The state backed the Democratic presidential ticket by double digits in the prior cycle, and forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries. McBride holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican primary contenders, reflecting historical base rates of easy Democratic retention in this single-member district. Absent major recent catalysts, the pricing aligns with the seat's structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an incumbent scandal, primary upset, health event, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm surge altering local dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,311วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride's established position in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large district drives the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The state backed the Democratic presidential ticket by double digits in the prior cycle, and forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries. McBride holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican primary contenders, reflecting historical base rates of easy Democratic retention in this single-member district. Absent major recent catalysts, the pricing aligns with the seat's structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an incumbent scandal, primary upset, health event, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm surge altering local dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,311วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride's established position in Delaware's solidly Democratic at-large district drives the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The state backed the Democratic presidential ticket by double digits in the prior cycle, and forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 15 primaries. McBride holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican primary contenders, reflecting historical base rates of easy Democratic retention in this single-member district. Absent major recent catalysts, the pricing aligns with the seat's structural advantages. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an incumbent scandal, primary upset, health event, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm surge altering local dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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