Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's commanding trader consensus in Delaware's at-large congressional district stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and her 2024 general election victory margin of nearly 16 points over Republican John Whalen III. With no high-profile Republican challengers filed as of late April—ahead of the July 14 filing deadline and September 15 primaries—markets heavily favor Democratic retention amid historical patterns of blue dominance in federal races. Realistic challenges would require a strong GOP recruit, a McBride scandal, significant national midterm Republican momentum, or shifts in key voting blocs like suburban independents, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$659 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$142 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's commanding trader consensus in Delaware's at-large congressional district stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and her 2024 general election victory margin of nearly 16 points over Republican John Whalen III. With no high-profile Republican challengers filed as of late April—ahead of the July 14 filing deadline and September 15 primaries—markets heavily favor Democratic retention amid historical patterns of blue dominance in federal races. Realistic challenges would require a strong GOP recruit, a McBride scandal, significant national midterm Republican momentum, or shifts in key voting blocs like suburban independents, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$801วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's commanding trader consensus in Delaware's at-large congressional district stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and her 2024 general election victory margin of nearly 16 points over Republican John Whalen III. With no high-profile Republican challengers filed as of late April—ahead of the July 14 filing deadline and September 15 primaries—markets heavily favor Democratic retention amid historical patterns of blue dominance in federal races. Realistic challenges would require a strong GOP recruit, a McBride scandal, significant national midterm Republican momentum, or shifts in key voting blocs like suburban independents, though structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$801วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sarah McBride's commanding trader consensus in Delaware's at-large congressional district stems from the state's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and her 2024 general election victory margin of nearly 16 points over Republican John Whalen III. With no high-profile Republican challengers filed as of late April—ahead of the July 14 filing deadline and September 15 primaries—markets heavily favor Democratic retention amid historical patterns of blue dominance in federal races. Realistic challenges would require a strong GOP recruit, a McBride scandal, significant national midterm Republican momentum, or shifts in key voting blocs like suburban independents, though structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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